Buffered Strategy Insights - March 07, 2026

Today's analysis: 77 near entry, 3 near acceleration, 26 near cap. Total 106 signals.

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HARBORSIDE - Buffered Strategy Insights - March 07, 2026
277
ETFs Analyzed
77
Near Entry
3
Accel. Zone
26
Near Cap
1 Mo T-Bill
3.64%
3 Mo T-Bill
3.65%
6 Mo T-Bill
3.53%
12 Mo T-Bill
3.58%
SPY IV
23.0%
QQQ IV
27.0%
IWM IV
30.5%
EFA IV
26.5%
EEM IV
34.5%
RSP IV
20.5%
Provider:
Innovator × | First Trust × | AllianzIM ×
Status:
✓ Optimal × | ✓ Good ×
Near Entry × | Accel Zone × | Near Cap ×
Click any column header to sort that section
▼ Opportunity Score — How It Works
Hover any Score cell in the table for a full breakdown
Score = Excess Upside × Cap Probability × Buffer Multiplier     where  Excess Upside = (Remaining Cap − Index Hole) − Fee Drag − T‑Bill Hurdle
① Excess Upside %
How much cap is left — after stripping out three real costs:
− Index Hole  Index must recover its current drawdown before any gain accrues
− Fee Drag  Management fee pro-rated to the remaining days
− T-Bill Hurdle  Risk-free return (≈4.25% ann.) over the same period — the opportunity cost of not just buying T-bills
For uncapped ETFs, the Outcome Period Threshold (the spread the index must clear before gains begin) is added to the index hole.
② Cap Probability %
Statistical probability the index delivers the required move in the days remaining — no arbitrary cliffs.
Uses a normal distribution with per-index historical daily volatility (SPY 1.0%/day, QQQ 1.3%/day, IWM 1.2%/day, etc.) and mean daily return.
Short-dated ETFs are automatically penalised — not by an arbitrary rule, but because the math gives the market less time to move.
Example: QBUF needed QQQ +6% in 25 days → 24% probability. BNOV needed SPY +19% in 239 days → 28%.
③ Buffer Multiplier
A quality multiplier on the whole opportunity — bigger, engaged buffer = higher multiplier.
Scale: 0% buffer → 1.0×, 30% (Ultra) buffer → 2.0×
The Downside Before Buffer (DBB) gap is subtracted — a buffer you haven't reached yet is worth slightly less than one already engaged.
Formula: 1 + (Effective Buffer / 30). Effective Buffer = Remaining Buffer + DBB.
Grade Scale:
A ≥ 3.0  Strong B ≥ 1.5  Good C ≥ 0.5  Fair D ≥ 0.0  Weak F < 0.0  Below T-Bill N/A  Dual Direction / Accelerated
* All values after fees. Model-based — not predictive of future results.
🎯 Near Entry — Good Risk/Reward Setup 58
ETFs trading within optimal entry range. Full outcome period ahead — full upside available.
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Optimal
QBUFQQQ
10% Buffer
Quarterly
Innovator 25 ~3.7% ~7.7% ~-0.1% ~53.6% ~17%
Optimal
SIXJSPY
10% Buffer
6-Month
AllianzIM 116 ~7.0% ~8.7% ~22.1% ~23%
Optimal
BNOVSPY
9% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 239 ~17.2% ~7.2% ~-0.5% ~26.2% ~12%
Optimal
NNOVQQQ
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 239 ~16.6% ~11.4% ~25.4% ~10%
Optimal
NVBUSPY
15%
Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM 239 ~0.0% ~14.1% ~4.0% Spread ~49%
Optimal
BDECSPY
9% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 269 ~17.3% ~7.3% ~-0.2% ~23.5% ~13%
Optimal
DECTSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 269 ~16.3% ~8.2% ~-0.4% ~22.1% ~14%
Optimal
DECUSPY
15%
Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM 269 ~0.0% ~14.0% ~4.0% Spread ~49%
Optimal
NDECQQQ
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 269 ~15.5% ~12.3% ~21.1% ~14%
Optimal
FDECSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 287 ~14.6% ~8.7% ~-0.2% ~18.6% ~19%
Optimal
GDECSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 287 ~11.6% ~13.4% ~-0.5% ~14.7% ~23%
Optimal
BJANSPY
9% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 300 ~16.7% ~7.8% ~20.4% ~16%
Optimal
JANTSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 300 ~15.8% ~8.8% ~19.2% ~17%
Optimal
JANUSPY
15%
Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM 300 ~0.0% ~14.1% ~3.7% Spread ~49%
Optimal
JANWSPY
20% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 300 ~10.1% ~18.4% ~-0.4% ~12.3% ~26%
Optimal
NJANQQQ
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 300 ~15.0% ~13.2% ~18.3% ~17%
Optimal
PJANSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 300 ~12.0% ~13.5% ~-0.3% ~14.6% ~23%
Optimal
QCJAQQQ
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 315 ~12.7% ~17.7% ~14.7% ~20%
Optimal
XJANSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 315 ~10.3% ~12.8% ~11.9% ~25%
Optimal
FEBWSPY
20% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 331 ~11.1% ~18.1% ~12.2% ~24%
Optimal
KFEBIWM
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 331 ~18.2% ~12.4% ~20.1% ~13%
Optimal
FEBMSPY
50% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 350 ~6.5% ~45.5% ~-0.5% ~6.8% ~32%
Optimal
QMFEQQQ
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 350 ~15.0% ~13.6% ~-0.1% ~15.7% ~20%
Optimal
XFEBSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 350 ~10.8% ~13.3% ~11.3% ~26%
Optimal
MARWSPY
20% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 359 ~11.1% ~18.6% ~11.3% ~26%
Optimal
NMARQQQ
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 359 ~15.9% ~13.8% ~-0.1% ~16.1% ~19%
Optimal
PMARSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 359 ~13.2% ~13.6% ~13.5% ~23%
Good
AIOOSPY
100%
Protection
AllianzIM 25 ~0.0% ~99.8% ~-0.4% ~25% Partic. ~40%
Good
ZALTSPY
10% Buffer
Quarterly
Innovator 25 ~2.7% ~8.4% ~-0.3% ~39.1% ~25%
Good
SIXDSPY
10% Buffer
6-Month
AllianzIM 86 ~7.4% ~8.0% ~-0.5% ~31.4% ~19%
Good
OCTUSPY
15%
Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM 208 ~0.0% ~14.5% ~3.8% Spread >95%
Good
QCOCQQQ
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 224 ~10.5% ~17.6% ~-1.8% ~17.1% ~21%
Good
NVBTSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 239 ~16.2% ~8.1% ~-0.6% ~24.8% ~13%
Good
NVBWSPY
20% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 239 ~10.1% ~17.6% ~-1.2% ~15.4% ~22%
Good
PNOVSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 239 ~12.2% ~12.8% ~-1.0% ~18.7% ~19%
Good
DECWSPY
20% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 269 ~10.3% ~17.7% ~-1.0% ~13.9% ~23%
Good
PDECSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 269 ~12.5% ~12.9% ~-0.7% ~16.9% ~20%
Good
DECMSPY
50% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 287 ~5.9% ~49.0% ~-1.1% ~7.5% ~33%
Good
QDECQQQ
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 287 ~19.0% ~7.9% ~24.2% ~12%
Good
XDECSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 287 ~9.4% ~13.3% ~-0.7% ~12.0% ~27%
Good
EJANEEM
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 300 ~12.7% ~17.2% ~-1.6% ~15.4% ~31%
Good
IJANEFA
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 300 ~11.9% ~15.2% ~-1.7% ~14.5% ~27%
Good
JANIEFA
15%
Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM 300 ~0.0% ~13.6% ~2.4% Spread ~48%
Good
FJANSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 315 ~15.8% ~8.4% ~18.3% ~17%
Good
GJANSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 315 ~12.5% ~13.1% ~14.5% ~22%
Good
JANMSPY
50% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 315 ~6.4% ~43.6% ~-0.6% ~7.4% ~31%
Good
BFEBSPY
9% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 331 ~18.1% ~7.6% ~20.0% ~15%
Good
FEBTSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 331 ~17.0% ~8.6% ~18.7% ~17%
Good
FEBUSPY
15%
Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM 331 ~0.0% ~13.8% ~3.8% Spread ~48%
Good
IFEBEFA
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 331 ~14.6% ~13.8% ~16.1% ~20%
Good
NFEBQQQ
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 331 ~16.3% ~12.8% ~18.0% ~16%
Good
PFEBSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 331 ~13.1% ~13.1% ~14.5% ~21%
Good
FFEBSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 350 ~16.1% ~8.6% ~16.8% ~18%
Good
GFEBSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 350 ~12.8% ~13.4% ~13.3% ~23%
Good
BMARSPY
9% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 359 ~17.9% ~7.9% ~18.2% ~17%
Good
KMARIWM
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 359 ~19.3% ~12.3% ~19.6% ~13%
Good
MARTSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 359 ~16.8% ~8.9% ~17.1% ~18%
Good
MARUSPY
15%
Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM 359 ~0.0% ~13.9% ~4.0% Spread ~49%
Sort:
QBUF Innovator QQQ
Optimal
10% Buffer
Quarterly
Quarterly · 25 Days Until Reset
~53.6%
Cap Yld
~3.7%
Rem. Cap
~7.7%
Rem. Buf
~-0.1%
DBB
~17%
Prob.
SIXJ AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
10% Buffer
6-Month
6-Month · 116 Days Until Reset
~22.1%
Cap Yld
~7.0%
Rem. Cap
~8.7%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~23%
Prob.
BNOV Innovator SPY
Optimal
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~26.2%
Cap Yld
~17.2%
Rem. Cap
~7.2%
Rem. Buf
~-0.5%
DBB
~12%
Prob.
NNOV Innovator QQQ
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~25.4%
Cap Yld
~16.6%
Rem. Cap
~11.4%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~10%
Prob.
NVBU AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~4.0% Spread
Spread
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~14.1%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~49%
Prob.
BDEC Innovator SPY
Optimal
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~23.5%
Cap Yld
~17.3%
Rem. Cap
~7.3%
Rem. Buf
~-0.2%
DBB
~13%
Prob.
DECT AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~22.1%
Cap Yld
~16.3%
Rem. Cap
~8.2%
Rem. Buf
~-0.4%
DBB
~14%
Prob.
DECU AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~4.0% Spread
Spread
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~14.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~49%
Prob.
NDEC Innovator QQQ
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~21.1%
Cap Yld
~15.5%
Rem. Cap
~12.3%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~14%
Prob.
FDEC First Trust SPY
Optimal
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 287 Days Until Reset
~18.6%
Cap Yld
~14.6%
Rem. Cap
~8.7%
Rem. Buf
~-0.2%
DBB
~19%
Prob.
GDEC First Trust SPY
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 287 Days Until Reset
~14.7%
Cap Yld
~11.6%
Rem. Cap
~13.4%
Rem. Buf
~-0.5%
DBB
~23%
Prob.
BJAN Innovator SPY
Optimal
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~20.4%
Cap Yld
~16.7%
Rem. Cap
~7.8%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~16%
Prob.
JANT AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~19.2%
Cap Yld
~15.8%
Rem. Cap
~8.8%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~17%
Prob.
JANU AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~3.7% Spread
Spread
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~14.1%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~49%
Prob.
JANW AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~12.3%
Cap Yld
~10.1%
Rem. Cap
~18.4%
Rem. Buf
~-0.4%
DBB
~26%
Prob.
NJAN Innovator QQQ
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~18.3%
Cap Yld
~15.0%
Rem. Cap
~13.2%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~17%
Prob.
PJAN Innovator SPY
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~14.6%
Cap Yld
~12.0%
Rem. Cap
~13.5%
Rem. Buf
~-0.3%
DBB
~23%
Prob.
QCJA First Trust QQQ
Optimal
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 315 Days Until Reset
~14.7%
Cap Yld
~12.7%
Rem. Cap
~17.7%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~20%
Prob.
XJAN First Trust SPY
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 315 Days Until Reset
~11.9%
Cap Yld
~10.3%
Rem. Cap
~12.8%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~25%
Prob.
FEBW AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~12.2%
Cap Yld
~11.1%
Rem. Cap
~18.1%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~24%
Prob.
KFEB Innovator IWM
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~20.1%
Cap Yld
~18.2%
Rem. Cap
~12.4%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~13%
Prob.
FEBM First Trust SPY
Optimal
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 350 Days Until Reset
~6.8%
Cap Yld
~6.5%
Rem. Cap
~45.5%
Rem. Buf
~-0.5%
DBB
~32%
Prob.
QMFE First Trust QQQ
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 350 Days Until Reset
~15.7%
Cap Yld
~15.0%
Rem. Cap
~13.6%
Rem. Buf
~-0.1%
DBB
~20%
Prob.
XFEB First Trust SPY
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 350 Days Until Reset
~11.3%
Cap Yld
~10.8%
Rem. Cap
~13.3%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~26%
Prob.
MARW AllianzIM SPY
Optimal
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~11.3%
Cap Yld
~11.1%
Rem. Cap
~18.6%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~26%
Prob.
NMAR Innovator QQQ
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~16.1%
Cap Yld
~15.9%
Rem. Cap
~13.8%
Rem. Buf
~-0.1%
DBB
~19%
Prob.
PMAR Innovator SPY
Optimal
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~13.5%
Cap Yld
~13.2%
Rem. Cap
~13.6%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~23%
Prob.
AIOO AllianzIM SPY
Good
100%
Protection
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~25% Partic.
Partic. Rate
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~99.8%
Rem. Buf
~-0.4%
DBB
~40%
Prob.
ZALT Innovator SPY
Good
10% Buffer
Quarterly
Quarterly · 25 Days Until Reset
~39.1%
Cap Yld
~2.7%
Rem. Cap
~8.4%
Rem. Buf
~-0.3%
DBB
~25%
Prob.
SIXD AllianzIM SPY
Good
10% Buffer
6-Month
6-Month · 86 Days Until Reset
~31.4%
Cap Yld
~7.4%
Rem. Cap
~8.0%
Rem. Buf
~-0.5%
DBB
~19%
Prob.
OCTU AllianzIM SPY
Good
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Annual · 208 Days Until Reset
~3.8% Spread
Spread
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~14.5%
Rem. Buf
DBB
>95%
Prob.
QCOC First Trust QQQ
Good
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 224 Days Until Reset
~17.1%
Cap Yld
~10.5%
Rem. Cap
~17.6%
Rem. Buf
~-1.8%
DBB
~21%
Prob.
NVBT AllianzIM SPY
Good
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~24.8%
Cap Yld
~16.2%
Rem. Cap
~8.1%
Rem. Buf
~-0.6%
DBB
~13%
Prob.
NVBW AllianzIM SPY
Good
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~15.4%
Cap Yld
~10.1%
Rem. Cap
~17.6%
Rem. Buf
~-1.2%
DBB
~22%
Prob.
PNOV Innovator SPY
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~18.7%
Cap Yld
~12.2%
Rem. Cap
~12.8%
Rem. Buf
~-1.0%
DBB
~19%
Prob.
DECW AllianzIM SPY
Good
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~13.9%
Cap Yld
~10.3%
Rem. Cap
~17.7%
Rem. Buf
~-1.0%
DBB
~23%
Prob.
PDEC Innovator SPY
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~16.9%
Cap Yld
~12.5%
Rem. Cap
~12.9%
Rem. Buf
~-0.7%
DBB
~20%
Prob.
DECM First Trust SPY
Good
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 287 Days Until Reset
~7.5%
Cap Yld
~5.9%
Rem. Cap
~49.0%
Rem. Buf
~-1.1%
DBB
~33%
Prob.
QDEC First Trust QQQ
Good
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 287 Days Until Reset
~24.2%
Cap Yld
~19.0%
Rem. Cap
~7.9%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~12%
Prob.
XDEC First Trust SPY
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 287 Days Until Reset
~12.0%
Cap Yld
~9.4%
Rem. Cap
~13.3%
Rem. Buf
~-0.7%
DBB
~27%
Prob.
EJAN Innovator EEM
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~15.4%
Cap Yld
~12.7%
Rem. Cap
~17.2%
Rem. Buf
~-1.6%
DBB
~31%
Prob.
IJAN Innovator EFA
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~14.5%
Cap Yld
~11.9%
Rem. Cap
~15.2%
Rem. Buf
~-1.7%
DBB
~27%
Prob.
JANI AllianzIM EFA
Good
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~2.4% Spread
Spread
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~13.6%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~48%
Prob.
FJAN First Trust SPY
Good
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 315 Days Until Reset
~18.3%
Cap Yld
~15.8%
Rem. Cap
~8.4%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~17%
Prob.
GJAN First Trust SPY
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 315 Days Until Reset
~14.5%
Cap Yld
~12.5%
Rem. Cap
~13.1%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~22%
Prob.
JANM First Trust SPY
Good
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 315 Days Until Reset
~7.4%
Cap Yld
~6.4%
Rem. Cap
~43.6%
Rem. Buf
~-0.6%
DBB
~31%
Prob.
BFEB Innovator SPY
Good
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~20.0%
Cap Yld
~18.1%
Rem. Cap
~7.6%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~15%
Prob.
FEBT AllianzIM SPY
Good
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~18.7%
Cap Yld
~17.0%
Rem. Cap
~8.6%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~17%
Prob.
FEBU AllianzIM SPY
Good
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~3.8% Spread
Spread
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~13.8%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~48%
Prob.
IFEB Innovator EFA
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~16.1%
Cap Yld
~14.6%
Rem. Cap
~13.8%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~20%
Prob.
NFEB Innovator QQQ
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~18.0%
Cap Yld
~16.3%
Rem. Cap
~12.8%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~16%
Prob.
PFEB Innovator SPY
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~14.5%
Cap Yld
~13.1%
Rem. Cap
~13.1%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~21%
Prob.
FFEB First Trust SPY
Good
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 350 Days Until Reset
~16.8%
Cap Yld
~16.1%
Rem. Cap
~8.6%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~18%
Prob.
GFEB First Trust SPY
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 350 Days Until Reset
~13.3%
Cap Yld
~12.8%
Rem. Cap
~13.4%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~23%
Prob.
BMAR Innovator SPY
Good
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~18.2%
Cap Yld
~17.9%
Rem. Cap
~7.9%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~17%
Prob.
KMAR Innovator IWM
Good
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~19.6%
Cap Yld
~19.3%
Rem. Cap
~12.3%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~13%
Prob.
MART AllianzIM SPY
Good
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~17.1%
Cap Yld
~16.8%
Rem. Cap
~8.9%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~18%
Prob.
MARU AllianzIM SPY
Good
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~4.0% Spread
Spread
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~13.9%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~49%
Prob.
🛡 100% Principal Protection 5
Principal-protected ETFs trading near their starting levels.
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Optimal
ZFEBSPY
100%
Protection
Innovator 331 ~5.8% ~99.4% ~-0.6% ~6.3% ~32%
Optimal
ZMARSPY
100%
Protection
Innovator 359 ~6.2% ~99.5% ~-0.5% ~6.4% ~34%
Optimal
AJANSPY
100%
Protection
Innovator 665 ~11.6% ~98.3% ~-1.7% ~6.4% ~31%
Good
JAJLSPY
100%
Protection
Innovator 116 ~2.6% ~99.3% ~-0.7% ~8.1% ~35%
Good
ZJANSPY
100%
Protection
Innovator 300 ~5.5% ~99.0% ~-1.1% ~6.7% ~34%
Sort:
ZFEB Innovator SPY
Optimal
100%
Protection
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~6.3%
Cap Yld
~5.8%
Rem. Cap
~99.4%
Rem. Buf
~-0.6%
DBB
~32%
Prob.
ZMAR Innovator SPY
Optimal
100%
Protection
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~6.4%
Cap Yld
~6.2%
Rem. Cap
~99.5%
Rem. Buf
~-0.5%
DBB
~34%
Prob.
AJAN Innovator SPY
Optimal
100%
Protection
2-Year · 665 Days Until Reset
~6.4%
Cap Yld
~11.6%
Rem. Cap
~98.3%
Rem. Buf
~-1.7%
DBB
~31%
Prob.
JAJL Innovator SPY
Good
100%
Protection
6-Month · 116 Days Until Reset
~8.1%
Cap Yld
~2.6%
Rem. Cap
~99.3%
Rem. Buf
~-0.7%
DBB
~35%
Prob.
ZJAN Innovator SPY
Good
100%
Protection
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~6.7%
Cap Yld
~5.5%
Rem. Cap
~99.0%
Rem. Buf
~-1.1%
DBB
~34%
Prob.
↔ Dual Direction Entry 11
Profit from moves in either direction. Optimal zone centered around fee breakeven.
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Optimal
DDNQQQQ
Dual
Direction 5% Quarterly
Innovator 25 ~4.7% ~2.6% ~-0.1% ~68.0% ~21%
Optimal
DDTJSPY
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Innovator 300 ~12.7% ~8.5% ~-0.2% ~15.4% ~26%
Optimal
DDFFSPY
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Innovator 331 ~9.5% ~12.6% ~10.4% ~32%
Optimal
DDFMSPY
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Innovator 359 ~9.8% ~13.2% ~-0.0% ~9.9% ~32%
Optimal
DDTMSPY
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Innovator 359 ~14.2% ~8.5% ~14.4% ~25%
Good
DDFNSPY
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Innovator 239 ~8.1% ~12.0% ~-1.8% ~12.4% ~32%
Good
DDTNSPY
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Innovator 239 ~12.7% ~7.5% ~-1.2% ~19.3% ~24%
Good
DDFDSPY
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Innovator 269 ~8.3% ~12.4% ~-1.2% ~11.3% ~33%
Good
DDTDSPY
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Innovator 269 ~13.0% ~7.8% ~-0.7% ~17.6% ~24%
Good
DDFJSPY
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Innovator 300 ~8.4% ~13.2% ~-0.6% ~10.2% ~33%
Good
DDTFSPY
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Innovator 331 ~14.1% ~8.0% ~15.5% ~25%
Sort:
DDNQ Innovator QQQ
Optimal
Dual
Direction 5% Quarterly
Quarterly · 25 Days Until Reset
~68.0%
Cap Yld
~4.7%
Rem. Cap
~2.6%
Rem. Buf
~-0.1%
DBB
~21%
Prob.
DDTJ Innovator SPY
Optimal
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~15.4%
Cap Yld
~12.7%
Rem. Cap
~8.5%
Rem. Buf
~-0.2%
DBB
~26%
Prob.
DDFF Innovator SPY
Optimal
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~10.4%
Cap Yld
~9.5%
Rem. Cap
~12.6%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~32%
Prob.
DDFM Innovator SPY
Optimal
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~9.9%
Cap Yld
~9.8%
Rem. Cap
~13.2%
Rem. Buf
~-0.0%
DBB
~32%
Prob.
DDTM Innovator SPY
Optimal
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Annual · 359 Days Until Reset
~14.4%
Cap Yld
~14.2%
Rem. Cap
~8.5%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~25%
Prob.
DDFN Innovator SPY
Good
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~12.4%
Cap Yld
~8.1%
Rem. Cap
~12.0%
Rem. Buf
~-1.8%
DBB
~32%
Prob.
DDTN Innovator SPY
Good
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Annual · 239 Days Until Reset
~19.3%
Cap Yld
~12.7%
Rem. Cap
~7.5%
Rem. Buf
~-1.2%
DBB
~24%
Prob.
DDFD Innovator SPY
Good
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~11.3%
Cap Yld
~8.3%
Rem. Cap
~12.4%
Rem. Buf
~-1.2%
DBB
~33%
Prob.
DDTD Innovator SPY
Good
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Annual · 269 Days Until Reset
~17.6%
Cap Yld
~13.0%
Rem. Cap
~7.8%
Rem. Buf
~-0.7%
DBB
~24%
Prob.
DDFJ Innovator SPY
Good
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~10.2%
Cap Yld
~8.4%
Rem. Cap
~13.2%
Rem. Buf
~-0.6%
DBB
~33%
Prob.
DDTF Innovator SPY
Good
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Annual · 331 Days Until Reset
~15.5%
Cap Yld
~14.1%
Rem. Cap
~8.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~25%
Prob.
🚀 Acceleration Zone — Enhanced Returns 9
Leveraged ETFs with accelerated upside participation (2x or 3x). Near Start: 3 · Near Threshold: 3 · Near Cap: 3
Near Starting Point 3
ETFs close to starting level with accelerated upside potential
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Accel Zone
XDSQSPY
2x
Accelerated
Innovator 25 ~7.0% ~0.0% ~101% ~15%
Accel Zone
XBJASPY
2x
Accelerated
Innovator 300 ~12.0% ~9.0% ~14.6% ~30%
Accel Zone
XTJASPY
2x
Accelerated
Innovator 300 ~16.0% ~0.0% ~19.5% ~30%
Sort:
XDSQ Innovator SPY
Accel Zone
2x
Accelerated
Quarterly · 25 Days Until Reset
~101%
Cap Yld
~7.0%
Rem. Cap
~0.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~15%
Prob.
XBJA Innovator SPY
Accel Zone
2x
Accelerated
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~14.6%
Cap Yld
~12.0%
Rem. Cap
~9.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~30%
Prob.
XTJA Innovator SPY
Accel Zone
2x
Accelerated
Annual · 300 Days Until Reset
~19.5%
Cap Yld
~16.0%
Rem. Cap
~0.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~30%
Prob.
Near Threshold 3
ETFs within 1% of acceleration threshold — enhanced returns activating
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Accel Zone
QTJLQQQ
3x
Accelerated
Innovator 116 ~8.4% ~0.0% ~26.5% ~35%
Accel Zone
XBJLSPY
2x
Accelerated
Innovator 116 ~4.7% ~9.0% ~14.7% ~35%
Accel Zone
XTJLSPY
2x
Accelerated
Innovator 116 ~6.0% ~0.0% ~18.8% ~35%
Sort:
QTJL Innovator QQQ
Accel Zone
3x
Accelerated
Annual · 116 Days Until Reset
~26.5%
Cap Yld
~8.4%
Rem. Cap
~0.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~35%
Prob.
XBJL Innovator SPY
Accel Zone
2x
Accelerated
Annual · 116 Days Until Reset
~14.7%
Cap Yld
~4.7%
Rem. Cap
~9.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~35%
Prob.
XTJL Innovator SPY
Accel Zone
2x
Accelerated
Annual · 116 Days Until Reset
~18.8%
Cap Yld
~6.0%
Rem. Cap
~0.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~35%
Prob.
Near Maximum Cap 3
ETFs approaching maximum cap — consider profit-taking strategies
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Near Cap
QTAPQQQ
3x
Accelerated
Innovator 25 ~0.8% ~0.0% ~12.4% ~90%
Near Cap
XBAPSPY
2x
Accelerated
Innovator 25 ~0.8% ~9.0% ~11.1% ~90%
Near Cap
XTAPSPY
2x
Accelerated
Innovator 25 ~1.0% ~0.0% ~14.6% ~90%
Sort:
QTAP Innovator QQQ
Near Cap
3x
Accelerated
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~12.4%
Cap Yld
~0.8%
Rem. Cap
~0.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~90%
Prob.
XBAP Innovator SPY
Near Cap
2x
Accelerated
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~11.1%
Cap Yld
~0.8%
Rem. Cap
~9.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~90%
Prob.
XTAP Innovator SPY
Near Cap
2x
Accelerated
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~14.6%
Cap Yld
~1.0%
Rem. Cap
~0.0%
Rem. Buf
DBB
~90%
Prob.
⚠ Approaching Cap — Index Below 1
ETF nearing max return but index has not yet reached cap level.
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Near Cap
AIOOSPY
100%
Protection
AllianzIM 25 ~0.0% ~99.8% ~-0.4% ~25% Partic. ~40%
Sort:
AIOO AllianzIM SPY
Near Cap
100%
Protection
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~25% Partic.
Partic. Rate
~0.0%
Rem. Cap
~99.8%
Rem. Buf
~-0.4%
DBB
~40%
Prob.
▲ Near Cap — Limited Upside Remaining 22
Cap reached ≥90%. Limited additional upside; downside sensitivity increases near reset.
Status Ticker Stgy Provider Days Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
DBB Cap
Yld
Prob.
Near Cap
DMARSPY
25% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 14 ~0.7% ~26.0% ~-15.3% ~19.0% >95%
Near Cap
FMARSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 14 ~1.0% ~12.3% ~-12.2% ~26.3% >95%
Near Cap
GMARSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 14 ~0.7% ~18.3% ~-10.4% ~18.0% >95%
Near Cap
MARMSPY
50% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 14 ~0.2% ~93.4% ~-6.6% ~6.0% >95%
Near Cap
QMARQQQ
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 14 ~1.1% ~13.1% ~-14.7% ~28.2% >95%
Near Cap
TMAREEM
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 14 ~0.9% ~15.8% ~-14.2% ~22.7% >95%
Near Cap
XMARSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 14 ~0.3% ~19.4% ~-9.3% ~8.6% >95%
Near Cap
AAPRSPY
100%
Protection
Innovator 25 ~0.7% ~84.9% ~-15.1% ~10.2% >95%
Near Cap
APRTSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 25 ~1.4% ~12.8% ~-12.3% ~21.0% >95%
Near Cap
APRWSPY
20% Buffer
Annual
AllianzIM 25 ~0.9% ~24.3% ~-9.2% ~12.8% >95%
Near Cap
EAPREEM
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 25 ~0.9% ~23.0% ~-12.2% ~13.9% >95%
Near Cap
KAPRIWM
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 25 ~1.5% ~18.3% ~-14.1% ~22.0% >95%
Near Cap
NAPRQQQ
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 25 ~0.9% ~20.8% ~-12.8% ~13.0% >95%
Near Cap
PAPRSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
Innovator 25 ~1.0% ~19.0% ~-10.3% ~14.6% >95%
Near Cap
UAPRSPY
30% Ultra
Buffer
Innovator 25 ~1.0% ~31.2% ~-14.7% ~14.5% >95%
Near Cap
ZAPRSPY
100%
Protection
Innovator 25 ~0.5% ~93.4% ~-6.6% ~7.0% >95%
Near Cap
APXMSPY
100% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 42 ~0.4% ~93.6% ~-6.4% ~3.8% >95%
Near Cap
DAPRSPY
25% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 42 ~1.2% ~29.2% ~-16.1% ~10.1% >95%
Near Cap
FAPRSPY
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 42 ~1.5% ~15.2% ~-14.3% ~12.9% >95%
Near Cap
GAPRSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 42 ~1.1% ~21.4% ~-12.1% ~10.0% >95%
Near Cap
QCAPQQQ
10% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 42 ~1.0% ~28.5% ~-12.2% ~9.0% >95%
Near Cap
XAPRSPY
15% Buffer
Annual
First Trust 42 ~0.8% ~22.8% ~-10.7% ~6.6% >95%
Sort:
DMAR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
25% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 14 Days Until Reset
~19.0%
Cap Yld
~0.7%
Rem. Cap
~26.0%
Rem. Buf
~-15.3%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
FMAR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 14 Days Until Reset
~26.3%
Cap Yld
~1.0%
Rem. Cap
~12.3%
Rem. Buf
~-12.2%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
GMAR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 14 Days Until Reset
~18.0%
Cap Yld
~0.7%
Rem. Cap
~18.3%
Rem. Buf
~-10.4%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
MARM First Trust SPY
Near Cap
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 14 Days Until Reset
~6.0%
Cap Yld
~0.2%
Rem. Cap
~93.4%
Rem. Buf
~-6.6%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
QMAR First Trust QQQ
Near Cap
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 14 Days Until Reset
~28.2%
Cap Yld
~1.1%
Rem. Cap
~13.1%
Rem. Buf
~-14.7%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
TMAR First Trust EEM
Near Cap
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 14 Days Until Reset
~22.7%
Cap Yld
~0.9%
Rem. Cap
~15.8%
Rem. Buf
~-14.2%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
XMAR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 14 Days Until Reset
~8.6%
Cap Yld
~0.3%
Rem. Cap
~19.4%
Rem. Buf
~-9.3%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
AAPR Innovator SPY
Near Cap
100%
Protection
2-Year · 25 Days Until Reset
~10.2%
Cap Yld
~0.7%
Rem. Cap
~84.9%
Rem. Buf
~-15.1%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
APRT AllianzIM SPY
Near Cap
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~21.0%
Cap Yld
~1.4%
Rem. Cap
~12.8%
Rem. Buf
~-12.3%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
APRW AllianzIM SPY
Near Cap
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~12.8%
Cap Yld
~0.9%
Rem. Cap
~24.3%
Rem. Buf
~-9.2%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
EAPR Innovator EEM
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~13.9%
Cap Yld
~0.9%
Rem. Cap
~23.0%
Rem. Buf
~-12.2%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
KAPR Innovator IWM
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~22.0%
Cap Yld
~1.5%
Rem. Cap
~18.3%
Rem. Buf
~-14.1%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
NAPR Innovator QQQ
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~13.0%
Cap Yld
~0.9%
Rem. Cap
~20.8%
Rem. Buf
~-12.8%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
PAPR Innovator SPY
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~14.6%
Cap Yld
~1.0%
Rem. Cap
~19.0%
Rem. Buf
~-10.3%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
UAPR Innovator SPY
Near Cap
30% Ultra
Buffer
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~14.5%
Cap Yld
~1.0%
Rem. Cap
~31.2%
Rem. Buf
~-14.7%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
ZAPR Innovator SPY
Near Cap
100%
Protection
Annual · 25 Days Until Reset
~7.0%
Cap Yld
~0.5%
Rem. Cap
~93.4%
Rem. Buf
~-6.6%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
APXM First Trust SPY
Near Cap
100% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 42 Days Until Reset
~3.8%
Cap Yld
~0.4%
Rem. Cap
~93.6%
Rem. Buf
~-6.4%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
DAPR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
25% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 42 Days Until Reset
~10.1%
Cap Yld
~1.2%
Rem. Cap
~29.2%
Rem. Buf
~-16.1%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
FAPR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 42 Days Until Reset
~12.9%
Cap Yld
~1.5%
Rem. Cap
~15.2%
Rem. Buf
~-14.3%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
GAPR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 42 Days Until Reset
~10.0%
Cap Yld
~1.1%
Rem. Cap
~21.4%
Rem. Buf
~-12.1%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
QCAP First Trust QQQ
Near Cap
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 42 Days Until Reset
~9.0%
Cap Yld
~1.0%
Rem. Cap
~28.5%
Rem. Buf
~-12.2%
DBB
>95%
Prob.
XAPR First Trust SPY
Near Cap
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual · 42 Days Until Reset
~6.6%
Cap Yld
~0.8%
Rem. Cap
~22.8%
Rem. Buf
~-10.7%
DBB
>95%
Prob.

Important Disclosures

Informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Not affiliated with any ETF issuer. Probability estimates are model-based and not predictive. Data derived from publicly available sources. For complete terms: harborside.capital/disclaimer. ©2026 Harborside Capital.

Modeled Outcome Profile at Expiration
Optimal
Good
Loss Zone
Before Fees
After Fees
Max Gain
~0%
% Cap Used
~0%
% Buffer Used