Daily Report

ETF Insights - December 02, 2025

Today's analysis: 16 near entry, 4 near acceleration, 15 near cap. Total 35 signals.

Eric Cerrone

— 33 min read
HARBORSIDE - ETF Insights - December 02, 2025
Harborside Capital
HARBORSIDE
CAPITAL

Defined Outcome ETF® Insights

December 02, 2025

Understanding Key Metrics

Cap Yield (Annualized)

The remaining upside potential converted to an annual percentage, for comparison to TBILLs.

Approaching Cap - Index Below

Limited upside potential remaining and as ETF gets closer to reset it will be very sensitive to downside moves.

Approaching Cap - Index Above

ETFs where the cap has been reached (≥90%) and the index is above the cap level, providing a downside cushion.

Probability

The statistical likelihood the index will be above the ETF's cap at expiry. Calculated using Implied Volatility.

Priority Color Coding
Green Border Best entry opportunity
Yellow Border Monitor for entry
Red Border Future exit/roll alerts
127
ETFs ANALYZED
16
NEAR ENTRY
4
NEAR ACCELERATION
15
NEAR CAP

🎯 Near Starting Point - Prime Entry Opportunities

ETFs trading within optimal entry range centered around fee-adjusted starting levels

Qualification Criteria:
Annual Buffer ETFs®:
  • Optimal: Fund Return between -1.29% and -0.29%
    (Centered around -0.79% fee breakeven point)
  • Good: Fund Return between -2.0% to -1.30% or -0.28% to +1.0%
    (Extended downside and upside ranges)
Quarterly Buffer ETFs®:
  • Optimal: Fund Return between -0.45% and +0.05%
    (Centered around -0.20% quarterly fee breakeven point)
  • Good: Fund Return between -0.70% to -0.46% or +0.06% to +0.30%
    (Extended downside and upside ranges)
*Ranges centered around fee breakeven for optimal entry timing*
KDEC
363 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.76%
|
Index Return: -1.44%
Remaining Cap: 18.20%
|
Buffer: 14%
Cap Yield: 18.3%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
EOCT
302 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.82%
|
Index Return: +1.69%
Remaining Cap: 13.37%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 16.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
IOCT
302 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.23%
|
Index Return: +1.79%
Remaining Cap: 12.78%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 15.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
BNOV
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.24%
|
Index Return: -0.08%
Remaining Cap: 16.52%
|
Buffer: 8%
Cap Yield: 18.1%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
INOV
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.07%
|
Index Return: +0.58%
Remaining Cap: 17.93%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 19.7%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
KNOV
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.56%
|
Index Return: -0.43%
Remaining Cap: 16.82%
|
Buffer: 13%
Cap Yield: 18.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
NNOV
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.14%
|
Index Return: -1.12%
Remaining Cap: 15.29%
|
Buffer: 13%
Cap Yield: 16.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
PNOV
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.27%
|
Index Return: -0.08%
Remaining Cap: 12.15%
|
Buffer: 14%
Cap Yield: 13.3%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
BDEC
363 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.15%
|
Index Return: -0.27%
Remaining Cap: 16.80%
|
Buffer: 8%
Cap Yield: 16.9%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
IDEC
363 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.17%
|
Index Return: -0.16%
Remaining Cap: 16.86%
|
Buffer: 14%
Cap Yield: 17.0%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
NDEC
363 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.09%
|
Index Return: +0.44%
Remaining Cap: 14.50%
|
Buffer: 14%
Cap Yield: 14.6%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
PDEC
363 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.07%
|
Index Return: -0.27%
Remaining Cap: 12.43%
|
Buffer: 14%
Cap Yield: 12.5%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%

🛡️ 100% Principal Protection®

Principal-protected ETFs trading near their starting levels

Qualification Criteria:
100% Buffer ETFs® (Annual/Bi-Annual):
  • Optimal: Fund Return -1% to +0.25%
  • Good: Fund Return between +0.26% and +0.5%
100% Buffer ETFs® (6-Month):
  • Optimal: Fund Return -0.50% to +0.25%
  • Good: Fund Return between +0.26% and +0.50%
*Watch for negative fund return which allows for extra yield compensating for fund fee*
ZNOV
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.23%
|
Index Return: -0.08%
Remaining Cap: 5.80%
|
Buffer: 99%
Cap Yield: 6.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
ZDEK
363 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.00%
|
Index Return: -0.28%
Remaining Cap: 6.05%
|
Buffer: 99%
Cap Yield: 6.1%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%

🔄 Dual Direction Entry® - Profit From Either Direction

Dual-direction ETFs positioned for gains in rising OR falling markets

DDFN
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.58%
|
Index Return: -0.09%
Remaining Cap: 8.58%
|
Buffer: 14%
Remaining Inverse Cap: 13.55%
Cap Yield: 9.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%
DDTN
333 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.45%
|
Index Return: -0.08%
Remaining Cap: 12.55%
|
Buffer: 9%
Remaining Inverse Cap: 8.72%
Cap Yield: 13.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.6%

🚀 Acceleration Zone - Enhanced Returns Available

ETFs with accelerated participation (2x or 3x) in positive index moves

Qualification Criteria:
Near Starting Point (Entry Signal):
• Fund Return between -1.5% and +0.5%
• Provides 2x or 3x acceleration on positive moves
Near Threshold (Monitor Signal):
• Index from (threshold - 1%) up to 85% of maximum cap
• Enhanced returns active - approaching cap trigger
Near Cap (Exit Signal):
• Index ≥ 85% of maximum cap
• Maximum cap likely to be achieved at reset
*Leveraged participation with no downside buffer protection*
0
NEAR START
4
NEAR THRESHOLD
7
NEAR CAP

NEAR THRESHOLD

ETFs within 1% of acceleration threshold - enhanced returns activating

Threshold: 4.20%
XDQQ
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +4.26%  |  Index Return: +3.60%
Remaining Cap: 3.78%
Cap Yield: 47.6%  |  T-Bill: 3.85%
Threshold: 3.26%
XDSQ
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +2.94%  |  Index Return: +2.30%
Remaining Cap: 3.27%
Cap Yield: 41.2%  |  T-Bill: 3.85%
Threshold: 6.33%
QTJL
210 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +9.07%  |  Index Return: +12.75%
Remaining Cap: 8.30%
Cap Yield: 14.4%  |  T-Bill: 3.72%
Threshold: 5.05%
XTJL
210 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +7.02%  |  Index Return: +10.31%
Remaining Cap: 6.81%
Cap Yield: 11.8%  |  T-Bill: 3.72%

NEAR MAXIMUM CAP

ETFs approaching maximum cap - consider profit-taking strategies

QTJA
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +17.86%
|
Index Return: +21.67%
Remaining Cap: 0.55%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 6.9%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XBJA
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.44%
|
Index Return: +16.29%
Remaining Cap: 0.35%
|
Buffer: 12%
Cap Yield: 4.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XTJA
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +13.22%
|
Index Return: +16.29%
Remaining Cap: 0.46%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 5.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
QTAP
119 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +17.39%
|
Index Return: +32.65%
Remaining Cap: 2.41%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 7.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.8%
XBAP
119 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +9.64%
|
Index Return: +21.84%
Remaining Cap: 2.07%
|
Buffer: 16%
Cap Yield: 6.3%
|
T-Bill: 3.8%
XTAP
119 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +12.94%
|
Index Return: +21.84%
Remaining Cap: 2.49%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 7.6%
|
T-Bill: 3.8%
XBJL
210 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +5.38%
|
Index Return: +10.31%
Remaining Cap: 5.38%
|
Buffer: 12%
Cap Yield: 9.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.7%

📈 Approaching Cap - Index Is Above Cap

ETF is Nearing the Max Return but Index exceeded Cap

AJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.01%
|
Index Return: +43.39%
Remaining Cap: 0.00%
|
Buffer: 86%
Cap Yield: 0.0%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
BJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +13.06%
|
Index Return: +16.28%
Remaining Cap: 1.39%
|
Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 17.5%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
EJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +13.67%
|
Index Return: +29.84%
Remaining Cap: 0.54%
|
Buffer: 22%
Cap Yield: 6.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
IJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +18.26%
|
Index Return: +25.70%
Remaining Cap: 0.82%
|
Buffer: 16%
Cap Yield: 10.3%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
NJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +13.23%
|
Index Return: +21.67%
Remaining Cap: 0.77%
|
Buffer: 18%
Cap Yield: 9.7%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
PJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.35%
|
Index Return: +16.29%
Remaining Cap: 0.73%
|
Buffer: 17%
Cap Yield: 9.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
UJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.16%
|
Index Return: +16.29%
Remaining Cap: 0.71%
|
Buffer: 30%
Cap Yield: 8.9%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
ZJAN
29 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +6.30%
|
Index Return: +16.28%
Remaining Cap: 0.36%
|
Buffer: 93%
Cap Yield: 4.5%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

Important Disclosures

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Defined Outcome ETFs® involve significant risks including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Innovator ETFs® Specific Disclosures are available at Innovatoretfs.com

For complete terms and conditions, visit: harborside.capital/disclaimer

Options Risk Disclosure: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options" available at theocc.com.

Please read the full disclaimer and risk disclosure document before making any investment decisions. Consult with a qualified financial advisor regarding your specific investment objectives and risk tolerance.

®  Trademark Notice: The following marks: Accelerated ETFs®, Accelerated Plus ETF®, Accelerated Return ETFs®, Barrier ETF®, Buffer ETF™, Defined Income ETF™, Defined Outcome Bond ETF®, Defined Outcome ETFs™, Defined Protection ETF®, Define Your Future®, Enhanced ETF™, Floor ETF®, Innovator ETFs®, Leading the Defined Outcome ETF Revolution™, Managed Buffer ETFs®, Managed Outcome ETFs®, Step-Up™, Step-Up ETFs®, 100% Buffer ETFs™, Dual Directional Buffer ETFs™ and all related names, logos, product and service names, designs, and slogans are the trademarks of Innovator Capital Management, LLC, its affiliates or licensors.

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