ETF Insights - October 16, 2025

Today's analysis: 20 near entry, 3 near acceleration, 12 near cap. Total 35 signals.

HARBORSIDE - ETF Insights - October 16, 2025
Harborside Capital
HARBORSIDE
CAPITAL

Defined Outcome ETF† Insights

October 16, 2025

Understanding Key Metrics

Cap Yield (Annualized)

The remaining upside potential converted to an annual percentage, for comparison to TBILLs.

Approaching Cap - Index Below

Limited upside potential remaining and as ETF gets closer to reset it will be very sensitive to downside moves.

Approaching Cap - Index Above

ETFs where the cap has been reached (≥90%) and the index is above the cap level, providing a downside cushion.

Probability

The statistical likelihood the index will be above the ETF's cap at expiry. Calculated using Implied Volatility.

Priority Color Coding
Green Border Best entry opportunity
Yellow Border Monitor for entry
Red Border Future exit/roll alerts
125
ETFs ANALYZED
20
NEAR ENTRY
3
NEAR ACCELERATION
12
NEAR CAP

⏰ ETFs Expiring in 30 Days - No Current Alerts

These ETFs will reset within 30 days but currently show no entry or exit signals. Consider rolling positions if currently held.

BNOV (15d)    KNOV (15d)

🎯 Near Starting Point - Prime Entry Opportunities

ETFs trading within optimal entry range centered around fee-adjusted starting levels

Qualification Criteria:
Annual Buffer ETFs†:
  • Optimal: Fund Return between -1.29% and -0.29%
    (Centered around -0.79% fee breakeven point)
  • Good: Fund Return between -2.0% to -1.30% or -0.28% to +1.0%
    (Extended downside and upside ranges)
Quarterly Buffer ETFs†:
  • Optimal: Fund Return between -0.45% and +0.05%
    (Centered around -0.20% quarterly fee breakeven point)
  • Good: Fund Return between -0.70% to -0.46% or +0.06% to +0.30%
    (Extended downside and upside ranges)
*Ranges centered around fee breakeven for optimal entry timing*
BALT
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.05%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 2.23%
|
Buffer: 20%
Cap Yield: 10.7%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
QBUF
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.15%
|
Index Return: -0.14%
Remaining Cap: 4.16%
|
Buffer: 10%
Cap Yield: 20.0%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
ZALT
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.39%
|
Index Return: -0.88%
Remaining Cap: 3.70%
|
Buffer: 10%
Cap Yield: 17.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
BOCT
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.77%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 15.47%
|
Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 16.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
POCT
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.55%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 11.63%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 12.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
EALT
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.55%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 6.49%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 31.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
EBUF
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.19%
|
Index Return: +1.48%
Remaining Cap: 3.57%
|
Buffer: 10%
Cap Yield: 17.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
EOCT
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.63%
|
Index Return: +1.48%
Remaining Cap: 13.58%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 14.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
IOCT
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.42%
|
Index Return: +1.02%
Remaining Cap: 12.57%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 13.1%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
KOCT
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.53%
|
Index Return: +1.20%
Remaining Cap: 15.77%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 16.5%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
NOCT
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.21%
|
Index Return: -0.14%
Remaining Cap: 13.70%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 14.3%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

🛡️ 100% Principal Protection†

Principal-protected ETFs trading near their starting levels

Qualification Criteria:
100% Buffer ETFs† (Annual/Bi-Annual):
  • Optimal: Fund Return -1% to +0.25%
  • Good: Fund Return between +0.26% and +0.5%
100% Buffer ETFs† (6-Month):
  • Optimal: Fund Return -0.50% to +0.25%
  • Good: Fund Return between +0.26% and +0.50%
*Watch for negative fund return which allows for extra yield compensating for fund fee*
APOC
166 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.14%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 2.81%
|
Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 6.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
ZOCT
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.23%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 5.48%
|
Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 5.7%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

🔄 Dual Direction Entry† - Profit From Either Direction

Dual-direction ETFs positioned for gains in rising OR falling markets

Qualification Criteria:
Optimal Entry (Dual Directional Buffer ETFs†):
  • Fund Return between -1.29% and -0.29%
  • Centered around -0.79% (fee breakeven point)
  • Maximum flexibility for bi-directional gains
Good Entry:
  • Fund Return between -2.0% and -1.30% (extended downside)
  • OR Fund Return between -0.28% and +1.0% (extended upside)
*Dual Directional Buffer ETFs† profit from market moves in EITHER direction*
DDTO
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.47%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 12.27%
|
Buffer: 10%
Cap Yield: 12.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
DDFO
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.12%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 8.35%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 8.7%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

📈 Approaching Cap - Above Starting Level

ETFs that have reached cap with index above cap level

Qualification Criteria:
Cap Reached (Exit Signal): 90%+ cap usage with index above cap level
*Maximum return achieved - consider exit timing and roll strategies*
INOV
15 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.03%
|
Index Return: +19.06%
Remaining Cap: 0.49%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 11.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
NNOV
15 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.28%
|
Index Return: +23.90%
Remaining Cap: 0.57%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 13.8%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
PNOV
15 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.63%
|
Index Return: +16.12%
Remaining Cap: 0.85%
|
Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 20.6%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
UNOV
15 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.12%
|
Index Return: +16.12%
Remaining Cap: 0.70%
|
Buffer: 30%
Cap Yield: 17.0%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
ZNOV
15 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +6.38%
|
Index Return: +16.11%
Remaining Cap: 0.25%
|
Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 6.0%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
AJAN
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +13.09%
|
Index Return: +38.92%
Remaining Cap: 0.82%
|
Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 3.9%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

🚀 Acceleration Zone - Enhanced Returns Available

ETFs with accelerated participation (2x or 3x) in positive index moves

Qualification Criteria:
Near Starting Point (Entry Signal):
• Fund Return between -1.5% and +0.5%
• Provides 2x or 3x acceleration on positive moves
Near Threshold (Monitor Signal):
• Index from (threshold - 1%) up to 85% of maximum cap
• Enhanced returns active - approaching cap trigger
Near Cap (Exit Signal):
• Index ≥ 85% of maximum cap
• Maximum cap likely to be achieved at reset
*Leveraged participation with no downside buffer protection*
5
NEAR START
3
NEAR THRESHOLD
6
NEAR CAP

NEAR STARTING POINT

ETFs close to starting level with accelerated upside potential

XDQQ
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.38%
|
Index Return: -0.14%
Remaining Cap: 8.62%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 41.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XDSQ
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.93%
|
Index Return: -0.89%
Remaining Cap: 7.33%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 35.2%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
QTOC
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.61%
|
Index Return: -0.14%
Remaining Cap: 18.78%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 19.6%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XBOC
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -0.73%
|
Index Return: -0.88%
Remaining Cap: 11.73%
|
Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 12.3%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XTOC
349 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: -1.08%
|
Index Return: -0.88%
Remaining Cap: 15.37%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 16.1%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

NEAR THRESHOLD

ETFs within 1% of acceleration threshold - enhanced returns activating

QTJL
257 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +5.88%
|
Index Return: +8.68%
Remaining Cap: 11.59%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 16.5%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XBJL
257 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +3.44%
|
Index Return: +6.87%
Remaining Cap: 7.37%
|
Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 10.5%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XTJL
257 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +4.44%
|
Index Return: +6.87%
Remaining Cap: 9.46%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 13.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

NEAR MAXIMUM CAP

ETFs at or above acceleration threshold - maximum cap likely at reset

QTJA
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.51%
|
Index Return: +17.27%
Remaining Cap: 3.52%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 16.9%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XBJA
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +8.21%
|
Index Return: +12.66%
Remaining Cap: 2.44%
|
Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 11.7%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XTJA
76 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.25%
|
Index Return: +12.67%
Remaining Cap: 3.20%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 15.3%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
QTAP
166 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.94%
|
Index Return: +27.85%
Remaining Cap: 4.61%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 10.1%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XBAP
166 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +7.81%
|
Index Return: +18.04%
Remaining Cap: 3.82%
|
Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 8.4%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%
XTAP
166 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.52%
|
Index Return: +18.04%
Remaining Cap: 4.76%
|
Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 10.5%
|
T-Bill: 3.9%

Important Disclosures

This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Defined Outcome ETFs† involve significant risks including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Innovator ETFs®† Specific Disclosures are available at Innovatoretfs.com

For complete terms and conditions, visit: harborside.capital/disclaimer

Options Risk Disclosure: Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options" available at theocc.com.

Please read the full disclaimer and risk disclosure document before making any investment decisions. Consult with a qualified financial advisor regarding your specific investment objectives and risk tolerance.

† Trademark Notice: The following marks: Accelerated ETFs®, Accelerated Plus ETF®, Accelerated Return ETFs®, Barrier ETF®, Buffer ETF™, Defined Income ETF™, Defined Outcome Bond ETF®, Defined Outcome ETFs™, Defined Protection ETF®, Define Your Future®, Enhanced ETF™, Floor ETF®, Innovator ETFs®, Leading the Defined Outcome ETF Revolution™, Managed Buffer ETFs®, Managed Outcome ETFs®, Step-Up™, Step-Up ETFs®, 100% Buffer ETFs™, Dual Directional Buffer ETFs™ and all related names, logos, product and service names, designs, and slogans are the trademarks of Innovator Capital Management, LLC, its affiliates or licensors.