ETF Insights - October 22, 2025
Today's analysis: 16 near entry, 3 near acceleration, 16 near cap. Total 35 signals.
Defined Outcome ETF† Insights
October 22, 2025
Understanding Key Metrics
The remaining upside potential converted to an annual percentage, for comparison to TBILLs.
Limited upside potential remaining and as ETF gets closer to reset it will be very sensitive to downside moves.
ETFs where the cap has been reached (≥90%) and the index is above the cap level, providing a downside cushion.
The statistical likelihood the index will be above the ETF's cap at expiry. Calculated using Implied Volatility.
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BALT
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.28%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 1.89%
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Buffer: 20%
Cap Yield: 9.8%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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EALT
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.23%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 5.66%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 29.5%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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BOCT
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.11%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 14.45%
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Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 15.4%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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EOCT
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.97%
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Index Return: +1.63%
Remaining Cap: 13.20%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 14.1%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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IOCT
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.40%
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Index Return: +1.14%
Remaining Cap: 12.58%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 13.4%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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KOCT
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.38%
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Index Return: +0.50%
Remaining Cap: 15.95%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 17.0%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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NOCT
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.39%
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Index Return: +0.79%
Remaining Cap: 13.02%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 13.9%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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POCT
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.17%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 10.83%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 11.5%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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APOC
160 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.24%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 2.71%
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Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 6.2%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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ZOCT
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.34%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 5.37%
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Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 5.7%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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DDFO
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.47%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 7.72%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 8.2%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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DDTO
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.43%
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Index Return: +0.19%
Remaining Cap: 11.27%
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Buffer: 10%
Cap Yield: 12.0%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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NEAR STARTING POINT
ETFs close to starting level with accelerated upside potential
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XDSQ
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.41%
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Index Return: +0.20%
Remaining Cap: 5.89%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 30.7%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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QTOC
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.42%
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Index Return: +0.79%
Remaining Cap: 17.55%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 18.7%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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XBOC
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.09%
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Index Return: +0.21%
Remaining Cap: 10.81%
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Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 11.5%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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XTOC
343 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +0.12%
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Index Return: +0.21%
Remaining Cap: 13.99%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 14.9%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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NEAR THRESHOLD
ETFs within 1% of acceleration threshold - enhanced returns activating
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Threshold: 6.33%
QTJL
251 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +7.00% |
Index Return: +9.70%
Remaining Cap: 10.42%
Cap Yield: 15.15% | T-Bill: 4.05%
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Threshold: 5.94%
XBJL
251 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +4.26% |
Index Return: +8.04%
Remaining Cap: 6.53%
Cap Yield: 9.49% | T-Bill: 4.05%
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Threshold: 5.05%
XTJL
251 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +5.55% |
Index Return: +8.05%
Remaining Cap: 8.31%
Cap Yield: 12.08% | T-Bill: 4.05%
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NEAR MAXIMUM CAP
ETFs approaching maximum cap - consider profit-taking strategies
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QTJA
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +15.70%
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Index Return: +18.37%
Remaining Cap: 2.44%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 12.7%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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XBJA
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +8.98%
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Index Return: +13.90%
Remaining Cap: 1.71%
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Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 8.9%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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XTJA
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +11.38%
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Index Return: +13.90%
Remaining Cap: 2.14%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 11.2%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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QTAP
160 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +15.77%
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Index Return: +29.05%
Remaining Cap: 3.85%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 8.8%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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XBAP
160 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +8.40%
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Index Return: +19.33%
Remaining Cap: 3.25%
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Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 7.4%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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XTAP
160 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +11.46%
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Index Return: +19.33%
Remaining Cap: 3.87%
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Buffer: 0%
Cap Yield: 8.8%
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T-Bill: 4.0%
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BNOV
9 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.32%
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Index Return: +17.38%
Remaining Cap: 0.59%
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Buffer: 9%
Cap Yield: 23.9%
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T-Bill: 4.3%
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INOV
9 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.38%
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Index Return: +19.20%
Remaining Cap: 0.18%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 7.3%
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T-Bill: 4.3%
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NNOV
9 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +14.80%
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Index Return: +25.07%
Remaining Cap: 0.11%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 4.5%
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T-Bill: 4.3%
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PNOV
9 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +11.33%
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Index Return: +17.39%
Remaining Cap: 0.21%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 8.5%
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T-Bill: 4.3%
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UNOV
9 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +10.77%
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Index Return: +17.39%
Remaining Cap: 0.11%
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Buffer: 30%
Cap Yield: 4.5%
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T-Bill: 4.3%
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ZNOV
9 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +6.63%
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Index Return: +17.38%
Remaining Cap: 0.02%
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Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 0.8%
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T-Bill: 4.3%
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IDEC
39 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +15.81%
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Index Return: +19.58%
Remaining Cap: 1.32%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 12.3%
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T-Bill: 4.3%
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AJAN
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +13.42%
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Index Return: +40.44%
Remaining Cap: 0.52%
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Buffer: 100%
Cap Yield: 2.7%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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EJAN
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +12.95%
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Index Return: +29.77%
Remaining Cap: 1.19%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 6.2%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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IJAN
70 Days Until Reset
Fund Return: +17.08%
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Index Return: +24.89%
Remaining Cap: 1.85%
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Buffer: 15%
Cap Yield: 9.6%
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T-Bill: 4.2%
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Important Disclosures
This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Defined Outcome ETFs† involve significant risks including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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