Outcome Radar - July 11, 2026
Today's analysis: 50 near entry, 0 near acceleration, 30 near cap. Total 86 signals.
6 of 52 annual-cycle funds are in Target/Extended Range, with the freshest showing a 9.56% modeled remaining buffer and 356 days to reset against an SPY reference asset. 4 funds are Near Cap, their remaining cap compressed toward zero as they approach the top of their payoff curves and the end of the current period. The remaining 42 are mid-period; the tab spans SPY, QQQ, IVV, EEM, and RSP underlyings.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QJUN
Target Range
First Trust™
QQQ · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~8.0%cap ~25.4%
|
~25.4% | ~8.0% | ~27.1% | 343 | 0.0% | ~8% | |
|
BJUN
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 9% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~7.8%cap ~17.5%
|
~17.5% | ~7.8% | ~19.6% | 326 | ~-0.6% | ~16% | |
|
JUNT
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~8.7%cap ~16.8%
|
~16.8% | ~8.7% | ~18.8% | 326 | ~-0.8% | ~17% | |
|
BJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 9% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~8.5%cap ~17.0%
|
~17.0% | ~8.5% | ~17.4% | 356 | ~-1.1% | ~19% | |
|
JULT
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~9.6%cap ~16.2%
|
~16.2% | ~9.6% | ~16.6% | 356 | ~-1.0% | ~20% | |
|
FJUN
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~9.2%cap ~14.9%
|
~14.9% | ~9.2% | ~15.9% | 343 | ~-1.4% | ~21% |
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~12.0%cap ~0.1%
|
~0.1% | ~12.0% | ~2.3% | 8 | ~-12.8% | >95% | |
|
AUGT
Near Cap
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~11.7%cap ~0.9%
|
~0.9% | ~11.7% | ~14.3% | 22 | ~-12.6% | ~78% | |
|
BAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 9% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~10.2%cap ~0.7%
|
~0.7% | ~10.2% | ~11.4% | 22 | ~-13.2% | ~75% | |
|
TENJ
Near Cap
iShares™
IVV · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~9.2%cap ~0.3%
|
~0.3% | ~9.2% | ~0.9% | 104 | ~-10.4% | ~53% |
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
12 of 88 annual-cycle funds are in Target/Extended Range, and 10 are Near Cap, with remaining cap compressed toward zero across that group; the other 66 are mid-period. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a 14.40% modeled remaining buffer with 343 days to reset and a -1.16% downside before buffer. Underlying exposure is split across SPY, EFA, IWM, QQQ, and EEM.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NJUN
Target Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.5%cap ~18.8%
|
~18.8% | ~13.5% | ~21.1% | 326 | 0.0% | ~14% | |
|
NJUL
Target Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.6%cap ~20.3%
|
~20.3% | ~13.6% | ~20.8% | 356 | 0.0% | ~13% | |
|
KJUL
Target Range
Innovator™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.7%cap ~19.2%
|
~19.2% | ~13.7% | ~19.7% | 356 | ~-0.3% | ~15% | |
|
YJUN
Target Range
First Trust™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.1%cap ~14.2%
|
~14.2% | ~14.1% | ~15.1% | 343 | ~-0.5% | ~22% | |
|
EJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
EEM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.6%cap ~31.3%
|
~31.3% | ~13.6% | ~32.1% | 356 | 0.0% | ~5% | |
|
IMAR
Extended Range
Innovator™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~12.6%cap ~12.6%
|
~12.6% | ~12.6% | ~19.7% | 234 | ~-1.2% | ~18% | |
|
IJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.0%cap ~15.8%
|
~15.8% | ~14.0% | ~16.2% | 356 | ~-1.0% | ~20% | |
|
IJUN
Extended Range
Innovator™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.0%cap ~14.4%
|
~14.4% | ~13.0% | ~16.1% | 326 | ~-1.3% | ~19% | |
|
PJUN
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.7%cap ~13.0%
|
~13.0% | ~13.7% | ~14.5% | 326 | ~-0.8% | ~23% | |
|
PJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.4%cap ~12.8%
|
~12.8% | ~14.4% | ~13.1% | 356 | ~-1.2% | ~26% | |
|
GJUN
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.3%cap ~12.0%
|
~12.0% | ~14.3% | ~12.8% | 343 | ~-1.3% | ~26% | |
|
XJUN
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.4%cap ~9.8%
|
~9.8% | ~14.4% | ~10.5% | 343 | ~-1.2% | ~31% |
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~22.6%cap ~0.3%
|
~0.3% | ~22.6% | ~4.8% | 22 | ~-14.7% | >95% | |
|
XJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~19.8%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~19.8% | ~1.4% | 8 | ~-9.3% | >95% | |
|
GJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~18.2%cap ~0.1%
|
~0.1% | ~18.2% | ~4.1% | 8 | ~-10.8% | >95% | |
|
NAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~20.9%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~20.9% | ~7.1% | 22 | ~-12.7% | >95% | |
|
SAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~21.0%cap ~0.7%
|
~0.7% | ~21.0% | ~6.2% | 43 | ~-14.0% | >95% | |
|
QMAG
Near Cap
First Trust™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~20.7%cap ~1.1%
|
~1.1% | ~20.7% | ~9.6% | 43 | ~-11.4% | >95% | |
|
PAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~17.9%cap ~0.5%
|
~0.5% | ~17.9% | ~7.5% | 22 | ~-10.7% | ~90% | |
|
KSEP
Near Cap
Innovator™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~19.0%cap ~1.3%
|
~1.3% | ~19.0% | ~8.8% | 53 | ~-13.8% | ~89% | |
|
XAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~18.6%cap ~0.7%
|
~0.7% | ~18.6% | ~5.6% | 43 | ~-8.6% | ~85% | |
|
GAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~17.3%cap ~1.0%
|
~1.0% | ~17.3% | ~8.2% | 43 | ~-9.9% | ~79% |
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
7 of 52 annual-cycle funds are Near Cap, with remaining cap compressed toward zero across the deep-buffer tier; 4 are in Target/Extended Range, and 41 are mid-period. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a modeled 99% remaining buffer with 343 days to reset, reflecting the structural trade-off between elevated protection depth and the tighter caps that accompany it.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
JUNW
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~18.8%cap ~11.4%
|
~11.4% | ~18.8% | ~12.7% | 326 | ~-0.7% | ~26% | |
|
JULW
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~19.6%cap ~11.2%
|
~11.2% | ~19.6% | ~11.5% | 356 | ~-0.9% | ~29% | |
|
JUNM
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 50% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~99.0%cap ~6.3%
|
~6.3% | ~99.0% | ~6.7% | 343 | ~-1.0% | ~38% | |
|
MAYM
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 50% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~98.8%cap ~5.7%
|
~5.7% | ~98.8% | ~6.6% | 316 | ~-1.2% | ~40% |
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QCJL
Near Cap
First Trust™
QQQ · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~27.2%cap ~0.1%
|
~0.1% | ~27.2% | ~6.4% | 8 | ~-10.8% | >95% | |
|
JULM
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 50% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~65.4%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~65.4% | ~0.0% | 8 | ~-6.7% | >95% | |
|
DJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 25% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~26.2%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~26.2% | ~1.4% | 8 | ~-15.3% | >95% | |
|
AUGW
Near Cap
AllianzIM™
SPY · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~23.3%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~23.3% | ~7.1% | 22 | ~-9.5% | ~93% | |
|
UAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 30% Ultra Buffer
|
buf ~30.6%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~30.6% | ~7.1% | 22 | ~-14.7% | ~92% | |
|
DAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 25% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~25.6%cap ~1.1%
|
~1.1% | ~25.6% | ~9.1% | 43 | ~-14.4% | ~78% | |
|
AUGM
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 60% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~56.6%cap ~0.5%
|
~0.5% | ~56.6% | ~4.6% | 43 | ~-6.1% | ~57% |
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Buffer
Annual
Annual
6 of 27 annual-cycle uncapped funds are in Target/Extended Range; the remaining 21 are mid-period. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a 14.62% modeled remaining buffer with 175 days left in its period and a downside before buffer of -3.34%, referencing an international equity underlying. The 27-fund tab skews heavily toward domestic equity exposure, with 3 funds referencing an international index.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Thresh.⇅ | Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob. | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
JANI
Target Range
AllianzIM™
EFA · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.6%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.6% | ~2.4% Spread | 175 | ~-3.3% | N/A | |
|
JNEU
Target Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.3%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.3% | ~4.3% Spread | 326 | 0.0% | N/A | |
|
JUNZ
Target Range
TrueShares™
SPY · 10% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~9.1%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~9.1% | ~75% Partic. | 327 | ~-0.3% | N/A | |
|
JULI
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
EFA · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.2%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.2% | ~3.2% Spread | 356 | ~-0.5% | N/A | |
|
JULU
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.3%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.3% | ~4.1% Spread | 356 | ~-1.1% | N/A | |
|
JULZ
Extended Range
TrueShares™
SPY · 10% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~9.4%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~9.4% | ~75% Partic. | 357 | ~-1.1% | N/A |
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
6 of 30 funds are in Target/Extended Range, and 2 are Near Cap with remaining cap compressed toward zero; the other 22 are mid-period. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a 99.84% modeled remaining buffer with 83 days to reset, reflecting the near-full principal protection that defines this category's structure. Annual cycles account for 20 funds, with 8 on two-year and 2 on six-month outcome periods.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AJUL
Target Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~98.4%cap ~16.7%
|
~16.7% | ~98.4% | ~8.4% | 722 | ~-1.6% | ~28% | |
|
ZJUN
Target Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.1%cap ~7.2%
|
~7.2% | ~99.1% | ~8.0% | 326 | ~-0.9% | ~33% | |
|
ZJUL
Target Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.1%cap ~7.6%
|
~7.6% | ~99.1% | ~7.8% | 356 | ~-0.9% | ~35% | |
|
MAXJ
Target Range
iShares™
IVV · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.3%cap ~7.3%
|
~7.3% | ~99.3% | ~7.5% | 356 | ~-0.7% | ~36% | |
|
AIOO
Target Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.8%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~99.8% | ~24% Partic. | 83 | ~-0.2% | N/A | |
|
JAJL
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.3%cap ~3.4%
|
~3.4% | ~99.3% | ~7.1% | 175 | ~-0.7% | ~41% |
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ZAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 100% Protection
|
buf ~93.5%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~93.5% | ~6.1% | 22 | ~-6.5% | >95% | |
|
AOCT
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 100% Protection
|
buf ~89.2%cap ~1.1%
|
~1.1% | ~89.2% | ~4.7% | 83 | ~-10.8% | >95% |
Protection
Protection
7 of 29 dual-direction funds are in Target/Extended Range, with 3 approaching the top of their payoff curve and remaining cap compressed toward zero; the other 19 are mid-period across this all-annual-cycle category. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a 14.46% modeled remaining buffer and 356 days to reset, with the reference asset 1.02% above the buffer threshold.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DDNQ
Extended Range
Innovator™
QQQ · Dual Direction 5% Quarterly
|
buf ~3.7%cap ~7.9%
|
~7.9% | ~3.7% | ~34.8% | 83 | 0.0% | ~22% | |
|
DQJN
Extended Range
First Trust™
QQQ · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~8.8%cap ~22.7%
|
~22.7% | ~8.8% | ~24.2% | 343 | 0.0% | ~14% | |
|
DDTZ
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~8.2%cap ~14.2%
|
~14.2% | ~8.2% | ~15.9% | 326 | ~-1.2% | ~24% | |
|
DDTL
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~9.4%cap ~14.1%
|
~14.1% | ~9.4% | ~14.5% | 356 | ~-1.1% | ~25% | |
|
DDSQ
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · Dual Direction 5% Quarterly
|
buf ~5.3%cap ~3.2%
|
~3.2% | ~5.3% | ~14.1% | 83 | ~-0.4% | ~38% | |
|
DDFZ
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 15% Annual
|
buf ~13.0%cap ~9.2%
|
~9.2% | ~13.0% | ~10.3% | 326 | ~-1.4% | ~33% | |
|
DDFL
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 15% Annual
|
buf ~14.5%cap ~9.9%
|
~9.9% | ~14.5% | ~10.2% | 356 | ~-1.0% | ~32% |
Direction 5% Quarterly
Range
Direction 10% Annual
Range
Direction 10% Annual
Range
Direction 10% Annual
Range
Direction 5% Quarterly
Range
Direction 15% Annual
Range
Direction 15% Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DDFS
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · Dual Direction 15% Annual
|
buf ~19.1%cap ~0.8%
|
~0.8% | ~19.1% | ~5.4% | 53 | ~-7.9% | ~46% | |
|
DDTS
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~12.5%cap ~1.2%
|
~1.2% | ~12.5% | ~8.5% | 53 | ~-10.3% | ~44% | |
|
DLAG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~11.8%cap ~1.1%
|
~1.1% | ~11.8% | ~9.7% | 43 | ~-8.7% | ~44% |
Direction 15% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
11 of 23 funds in this shorter-cycle category are in Target/Extended Range, with the freshest showing a modeled 20.15% remaining buffer and 83 days to reset on a SPY-referenced quarterly fund. 1 fund is Near Cap, with remaining cap compressed toward zero as its reset approaches. The other 11 are mid-period, spread across 17 quarterly and 6 six-month cycles and 6 underlying indexes.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QBUF
Target Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 10% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~8.6%cap ~6.2%
|
~6.2% | ~8.6% | ~27.4% | 83 | 0.0% | ~23% | |
|
RBUF
Target Range
Innovator™
IWM · 10% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~8.9%cap ~4.8%
|
~4.8% | ~8.9% | ~21.2% | 83 | ~-0.1% | ~29% | |
|
QBQF
Target Range
AllianzIM™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~13.6%cap ~4.5%
|
~4.5% | ~13.6% | ~19.7% | 83 | 0.0% | ~28% | |
|
QBQV
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
QQQ · 5% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~4.0%cap ~10.3%
|
~10.3% | ~4.0% | ~45.3% | 83 | 0.0% | ~14% | |
|
QBKV
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
IWM · 5% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~4.3%cap ~8.6%
|
~8.6% | ~4.3% | ~38.0% | 83 | 0.0% | ~19% | |
|
QBIV
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
EFA · 5% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~4.7%cap ~5.0%
|
~5.0% | ~4.7% | ~22.1% | 83 | ~-0.3% | ~31% | |
|
SIXD
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer 6-Month
|
buf ~8.8%cap ~7.5%
|
~7.5% | ~8.8% | ~18.9% | 144 | ~-0.6% | ~25% | |
|
QBKF
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
IWM · 15% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~14.1%cap ~3.6%
|
~3.6% | ~14.1% | ~15.9% | 83 | ~-0.0% | ~33% | |
|
SIXJ
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer 6-Month
|
buf ~9.8%cap ~7.4%
|
~7.4% | ~9.8% | ~15.4% | 175 | ~-0.8% | ~30% | |
|
IBUF
Extended Range
Innovator™
EFA · 10% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~9.7%cap ~3.3%
|
~3.3% | ~9.7% | ~14.5% | 83 | ~-0.3% | ~37% | |
|
BALT
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 20% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~20.1%cap ~2.1%
|
~2.1% | ~20.1% | ~9.4% | 83 | ~-0.4% | ~44% |
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
6-Month
Range
Quarterly
Range
6-Month
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DHDG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 12% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~13.4%cap ~0.3%
|
~0.3% | ~13.4% | ~12.3% | 8 | ~-6.3% | ~69% |
Quarterly
7 of 16 accelerated funds are at their starting thresholds, with the freshest showing a 9% modeled buffer and 356 days remaining in its outcome period; the other 9 are mid-period. No funds are Near Cap. The at-threshold group spans VOO, SPY, QQQ, GLD, and IVV underlyings across both annual and quarterly cycles.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XDQQ
Accel Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~12.7%
|
~12.7% | ~0.0% | ~55.8% | 83 | — | ~15% | |
|
QTJL
Accel Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 3x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~25.7%
|
~25.7% | ~0.0% | ~26.3% | 356 | — | ~30% | |
|
XBJL
Accel Range
Innovator™
VOO · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~9.0%cap ~12.7%
|
~12.7% | ~9.0% | ~13.0% | 356 | 0.0% | ~30% | |
|
XTJL
Accel Range
Innovator™
VOO · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~16.0%
|
~16.0% | ~0.0% | ~16.4% | 356 | — | ~30% |
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accelerated
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QTOC
Near Cap
Innovator™
QQQ · 3x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~3.2%
|
~3.2% | ~0.0% | ~14.3% | 83 | — | ~65% | |
|
XBOC
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~9.0%cap ~2.1%
|
~2.1% | ~9.0% | ~9.1% | 83 | 0.0% | ~50% | |
|
XTOC
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~2.5%
|
~2.5% | ~0.0% | ~10.9% | 83 | — | ~50% |
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accelerated
Independent Research & Trademark Notices
Innovator™, First Trust™, AllianzIM™, TrueShares™, and iShares™ (BlackRock) are trademarks of their respective owners. Outcome Radar is an independent research publication and is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by these or any other fund providers.
This publication is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer of advisory services. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor’s specific objectives and risk tolerance.
All probability estimates are model-based, hypothetical, and are not predictive of future results. Mathematical observations are based on current market data and modeled outcomes at expiration; they do not account for intra-period volatility or secondary market liquidity.
© 2026 Outcome Radar LLC. All Rights Reserved.
“Quiet” means no classification, not low volume and not low risk. A fund can be quiet and still move. These same funds are itemised in the ETFs Resetting Within 30 Days section further down the report, where you can see each one’s current classification.
Top 10 Widget (Dropdown Switcher) — A single box that holds three different “Top 10” views. Use the dropdown in the widget header to switch between them:
• Closest to Target Range (default) — The 10 ETFs trading closest to their target range. An ETF showing In Range is currently inside that band for its period type (annual, 6-month, or quarterly). Amber means within 0.25% of the band; red is further away. Ranked by absolute distance from the band.
• Asymmetry Ratio — Compares modeled upside with modeled downside on a standardized ±10% index move from today. A 5x ratio means the modeled gain is five times the modeled loss in that scenario. Higher values indicate greater modeled asymmetry, not a recommendation. Funds with fewer than 30 days remaining or non-standard structures are excluded.
• Top Cap Yield — The 10 ETFs with the highest annualized remaining cap. Cap Yield normalizes different time horizons so a fund with 60 days left can be compared to one with 300 days left.
Upcoming Resets & Watchlist — A tabbed widget with two views:
• Upcoming Resets — ETFs with scheduled resets within the next 8 days. At reset, the fund begins a new outcome period with newly established cap and buffer terms.
• Watchlist — Pin up to 10 tickers as display selections. Each card shows the ETF’s current classification (Target Range, Extended Range, Near Cap, etc.), remaining cap, buffer, cap yield, and days to reset. Use the sort bar to reorder by Status, Days, Cap, or Yield. Click any card to jump to that ETF’s row. The watchlist is saved in the browser and changes presentation only; it does not alter calculations, classifications, or report content.
Volume Traded (Treemap) — The 10 most actively traded ETFs from the prior session, sized by volume. Click any box to jump directly to that ETF’s row.
Implied Volatility Chart — Weekly history for VIX (S&P 500), VXN (Nasdaq), and RVX (Russell 2000), with current end-of-day broker-derived readings. Volatility influences option premiums and may affect future reset caps, but the relationship is not one-for-one and the chart is not a timing signal. If historical data is temporarily unavailable, the report clearly labels the widget as a current snapshot rather than drawing an empty graph.
• Buffer funds in Target Range: “~14.2% modeled buffer remaining · ~13.7% remaining cap · 320 days to reset”
• Buffer funds Near Cap: “Near cap condition · ~0.8% remaining cap · 45 days to reset”
• Uncapped / Accelerated / Dual Direction / Floor / 100% Protection funds each get their own phrasing.
Near Cap — ETFs nearing their maximum return for the current outcome period. Remaining upside is limited while downside exposure can remain; no replacement ticker is selected by the report.
Modeled Acceleration Range — Leveraged ETFs (2x/3x) classified by their current position relative to the modeled multiplier threshold and ceiling.
Dual Direction — ETFs with modeled participation in both positive and negative index moves.
Mid-Period Funds — The rest of the ETF universe for that tab’s buffer type. Collapsed by default — expand to see every fund with basic metrics.