Outcome Radar - July 13, 2026
Today's analysis: 46 near entry, 0 near acceleration, 30 near cap. Total 84 signals.
5 of 52 annual-cycle funds are in Target/Extended Range, with the freshest showing a 9.46% modeled remaining buffer and 352 days to reset against SPY. 4 funds are Near Cap, with remaining cap compressed toward zero across their payoff curves; the other 43 are mid-period.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BJUN
Target Range
Innovator™
SPY · 9% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~7.7%cap ~17.6%
|
~17.6% | ~7.7% | ~20.0% | 322 | ~-0.5% | ~16% | |
|
JUNT
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~8.5%cap ~17.0%
|
~17.0% | ~8.5% | ~19.2% | 322 | ~-0.6% | ~16% | |
|
BJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 9% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~8.2%cap ~17.1%
|
~17.1% | ~8.2% | ~17.7% | 352 | ~-1.0% | ~18% | |
|
JULT
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~9.5%cap ~16.4%
|
~16.4% | ~9.5% | ~17.0% | 352 | ~-0.8% | ~20% | |
|
FJUN
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~9.1%cap ~15.2%
|
~15.2% | ~9.1% | ~16.4% | 339 | ~-1.2% | ~21% |
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~11.7%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~11.7% | ~2.7% | 4 | ~-12.9% | >95% | |
|
AUGT
Near Cap
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~11.4%cap ~0.8%
|
~0.8% | ~11.4% | ~16.8% | 18 | ~-12.7% | ~78% | |
|
BAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 9% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~10.0%cap ~0.7%
|
~0.7% | ~10.0% | ~14.2% | 18 | ~-13.2% | ~75% | |
|
TENJ
Near Cap
iShares™
IVV · 10% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~9.2%cap ~0.5%
|
~0.5% | ~9.2% | ~1.8% | 100 | ~-10.2% | ~52% |
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
13 of 88 annual-cycle funds are in Target/Extended Range, with the freshest showing 14.30% modeled remaining buffer and 352 days to reset; 10 are Near Cap, with remaining cap compressed toward zero across a mix of SPY, EFA, IWM, and QQQ underlyings; the remaining 65 are mid-period.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KJUL
Target Range
Innovator™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.3%cap ~20.0%
|
~20.0% | ~13.3% | ~20.8% | 352 | 0.0% | ~13% | |
|
YJUN
Target Range
First Trust™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.8%cap ~14.5%
|
~14.5% | ~13.8% | ~15.6% | 339 | ~-0.3% | ~21% | |
|
NJUN
Extended Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~12.8%cap ~19.7%
|
~19.7% | ~12.8% | ~22.3% | 322 | 0.0% | ~12% | |
|
NJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.0%cap ~21.3%
|
~21.3% | ~13.0% | ~22.1% | 352 | 0.0% | ~11% | |
|
IMAR
Extended Range
Innovator™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~12.4%cap ~13.0%
|
~13.0% | ~12.4% | ~20.7% | 230 | ~-0.8% | ~16% | |
|
KJUN
Extended Range
Innovator™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.2%cap ~17.7%
|
~17.7% | ~14.2% | ~20.0% | 322 | ~-1.7% | ~17% | |
|
QMMY
Extended Range
First Trust™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.0%cap ~16.2%
|
~16.2% | ~14.0% | ~19.0% | 312 | ~-1.4% | ~18% | |
|
IJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.9%cap ~16.3%
|
~16.3% | ~13.9% | ~16.9% | 352 | ~-0.6% | ~19% | |
|
IJUN
Extended Range
Innovator™
EFA · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~12.8%cap ~14.8%
|
~14.8% | ~12.8% | ~16.7% | 322 | ~-1.0% | ~18% | |
|
PJUN
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~13.5%cap ~13.1%
|
~13.1% | ~13.5% | ~14.9% | 322 | ~-0.7% | ~22% | |
|
PJUL
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.3%cap ~13.0%
|
~13.0% | ~14.3% | ~13.5% | 352 | ~-1.0% | ~25% | |
|
GJUN
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.2%cap ~12.2%
|
~12.2% | ~14.2% | ~13.1% | 339 | ~-1.1% | ~26% | |
|
XJUN
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~14.3%cap ~10.0%
|
~10.0% | ~14.3% | ~10.8% | 339 | ~-1.0% | ~30% |
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~19.5%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~19.5% | ~0.0% | 4 | ~-9.3% | >95% | |
|
GJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~17.9%cap ~0.1%
|
~0.1% | ~17.9% | ~4.6% | 4 | ~-10.9% | >95% | |
|
KAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~21.7%cap ~0.2%
|
~0.2% | ~21.7% | ~4.7% | 18 | ~-14.7% | >95% | |
|
NAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~19.9%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~19.9% | ~8.7% | 18 | ~-12.7% | >95% | |
|
SAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~20.2%cap ~0.8%
|
~0.8% | ~20.2% | ~7.4% | 39 | ~-14.0% | >95% | |
|
QMAG
Near Cap
First Trust™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~19.7%cap ~1.2%
|
~1.2% | ~19.7% | ~11.5% | 39 | ~-11.3% | ~93% | |
|
PAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~17.6%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~17.6% | ~8.7% | 18 | ~-10.7% | ~91% | |
|
KSEP
Near Cap
Innovator™
IWM · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~18.2%cap ~1.4%
|
~1.4% | ~18.2% | ~10.7% | 49 | ~-13.7% | ~86% | |
|
XAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~18.3%cap ~0.6%
|
~0.6% | ~18.3% | ~5.9% | 39 | ~-8.7% | ~85% | |
|
GAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 15% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~17.1%cap ~1.0%
|
~1.0% | ~17.1% | ~9.4% | 39 | ~-9.9% | ~78% |
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
7 of 52 funds are Near Cap, with remaining cap compressed toward zero across this annual-cycle category; 4 are in Target/Extended Range, including one with a modeled 98.92% remaining buffer and 339 days to reset. The other 41 are mid-period, predominantly SPY-referenced across the tab.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
JUNW
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~18.6%cap ~11.4%
|
~11.4% | ~18.6% | ~12.9% | 322 | ~-0.6% | ~25% | |
|
JULW
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~19.5%cap ~11.4%
|
~11.4% | ~19.5% | ~11.9% | 352 | ~-0.7% | ~28% | |
|
MAYM
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 50% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~98.8%cap ~5.7%
|
~5.7% | ~98.8% | ~6.7% | 312 | ~-1.2% | ~39% | |
|
JUNM
Extended Range
First Trust™
SPY · 50% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~98.9%cap ~6.2%
|
~6.2% | ~98.9% | ~6.7% | 339 | ~-1.1% | ~37% |
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QCJL
Near Cap
First Trust™
QQQ · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~26.1%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~26.1% | ~1.8% | 4 | ~-10.9% | >95% | |
|
JULM
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 50% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~65.2%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~65.2% | ~0.0% | 4 | ~-6.7% | >95% | |
|
DJUL
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 25% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~26.0%cap ~0.0%
|
~0.0% | ~26.0% | ~0.9% | 4 | ~-15.3% | >95% | |
|
AUGW
Near Cap
AllianzIM™
SPY · 20% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~23.0%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~23.0% | ~8.1% | 18 | ~-9.5% | ~94% | |
|
UAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 30% Ultra Buffer
|
buf ~30.4%cap ~0.4%
|
~0.4% | ~30.4% | ~7.9% | 18 | ~-14.7% | ~93% | |
|
DAUG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 25% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~25.4%cap ~1.0%
|
~1.0% | ~25.4% | ~9.7% | 39 | ~-14.5% | ~78% | |
|
AUGM
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 60% Buffer Annual
|
buf ~56.4%cap ~0.5%
|
~0.5% | ~56.4% | ~4.2% | 39 | ~-6.2% | ~55% |
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Buffer
Annual
Annual
8 of 27 annual-cycle uncapped funds are in Target/Extended Range; the other 19 are mid-period. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a 14.63% modeled remaining buffer and 171 days to reset, with the reference asset needing to decline 3.01% before buffer engagement. No funds are Near Cap tonight.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Thresh.⇅ | Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob. | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
JANI
Target Range
AllianzIM™
EFA · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.6%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.6% | ~2.4% Spread | 171 | ~-3.0% | N/A | |
|
ARLU
Target Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.5%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.5% | ~5.2% Spread | 261 | ~-11.0% | N/A | |
|
MAYU
Target Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.4%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.4% | ~3.6% Spread | 291 | ~-3.9% | N/A | |
|
JNEU
Target Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.3%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.3% | ~4.3% Spread | 322 | 0.0% | N/A | |
|
JUNZ
Target Range
TrueShares™
SPY · 10% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~9.0%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~9.0% | ~75% Partic. | 323 | ~-0.1% | N/A | |
|
JULI
Target Range
AllianzIM™
EFA · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.2%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.2% | ~3.2% Spread | 352 | ~-0.2% | N/A | |
|
JULU
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 15% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~14.3%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~14.3% | ~4.1% Spread | 352 | ~-0.7% | N/A | |
|
JULZ
Extended Range
TrueShares™
SPY · 10% Uncapped Buffer
|
buf ~9.5%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~9.5% | ~75% Partic. | 353 | ~-0.8% | N/A |
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
Uncapped Buffer
Range
6 of 30 funds are in Target/Extended Range, with the freshest showing a modeled 99.82% remaining buffer and 79 days left in its outcome period. 2 funds are Near Cap, with remaining cap compressed toward zero across their final stretch of principal-protected payoff curves. The other 22 are mid-period, spanning 20 annual and 8 two-year cycles, with the tab split across SPY, VOO, and IVV underlyings.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AJUL
Target Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~98.6%cap ~16.9%
|
~16.9% | ~98.6% | ~8.6% | 718 | ~-1.4% | ~27% | |
|
ZJUN
Target Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.2%cap ~7.2%
|
~7.2% | ~99.2% | ~8.2% | 322 | ~-0.8% | ~32% | |
|
ZJUL
Target Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.2%cap ~7.6%
|
~7.6% | ~99.2% | ~7.9% | 352 | ~-0.8% | ~35% | |
|
MAXJ
Target Range
iShares™
IVV · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.3%cap ~7.4%
|
~7.4% | ~99.3% | ~7.6% | 352 | ~-0.7% | ~35% | |
|
JAJL
Target Range
Innovator™
VOO · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.4%cap ~3.5%
|
~3.5% | ~99.4% | ~7.5% | 171 | ~-0.6% | ~40% | |
|
AIOO
Target Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 100% Protection
|
buf ~99.8%Uncapped
|
Uncapped | ~99.8% | ~24% Partic. | 79 | ~-0.2% | N/A |
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
Protection
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ZAUG
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 100% Protection
|
buf ~93.4%cap ~0.3%
|
~0.3% | ~93.4% | ~6.9% | 18 | ~-6.6% | >95% | |
|
AOCT
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 100% Protection
|
buf ~89.2%cap ~1.1%
|
~1.1% | ~89.2% | ~4.9% | 79 | ~-10.8% | >95% |
Protection
Protection
5 of 29 dual-direction funds are in Target/Extended Range, and 3 are approaching the top of their payoff curve with remaining cap compressed toward zero; the other 21 are mid-period. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a 14.28% modeled remaining buffer with 352 days left in its annual cycle, currently -0.93% downside before buffer engages. Underlying exposure across the tab runs predominantly SPY-based, with a VOO and QQQ minority.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DDTZ
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~8.1%cap ~14.4%
|
~14.4% | ~8.1% | ~16.3% | 322 | ~-1.0% | ~24% | |
|
DDTL
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~9.3%cap ~14.3%
|
~14.3% | ~9.3% | ~14.9% | 352 | ~-0.9% | ~25% | |
|
DDSQ
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · Dual Direction 5% Quarterly
|
buf ~5.0%cap ~3.2%
|
~3.2% | ~5.0% | ~14.9% | 79 | ~-0.3% | ~37% | |
|
DDFZ
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 15% Annual
|
buf ~12.9%cap ~9.4%
|
~9.4% | ~12.9% | ~10.7% | 322 | ~-1.2% | ~32% | |
|
DDFL
Extended Range
Innovator™
VOO · Dual Direction 15% Annual
|
buf ~14.3%cap ~10.0%
|
~10.0% | ~14.3% | ~10.4% | 352 | ~-0.9% | ~32% |
Direction 10% Annual
Range
Direction 10% Annual
Range
Direction 5% Quarterly
Range
Direction 15% Annual
Range
Direction 15% Annual
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DDFS
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · Dual Direction 15% Annual
|
buf ~18.8%cap ~0.7%
|
~0.7% | ~18.8% | ~5.3% | 49 | ~-8.0% | ~46% | |
|
DDTS
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~12.2%cap ~1.2%
|
~1.2% | ~12.2% | ~8.7% | 49 | ~-10.3% | ~44% | |
|
DLAG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · Dual Direction 10% Annual
|
buf ~11.6%cap ~1.2%
|
~1.2% | ~11.6% | ~11.0% | 39 | ~-8.7% | ~43% |
Direction 15% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
11 of 23 funds are in Target/Extended Range, and 1 is Near Cap with remaining cap compressed toward zero; the other 11 are mid-period. The freshest Target/Extended Range fund carries a modeled 19.79% remaining buffer with 79 days until reset and a -0.46% downside before buffer, reflecting how little the reference asset has moved since its period opened. The 23 funds span six underlying indexes, with the majority referencing SPY, across 17 quarterly and 6 six-month cycles.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QBIV
Target Range
AllianzIM™
EFA · 5% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~4.4%cap ~5.3%
|
~5.3% | ~4.4% | ~24.7% | 79 | ~-0.0% | ~28% | |
|
QBQF
Target Range
AllianzIM™
QQQ · 15% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~12.6%cap ~4.9%
|
~4.9% | ~12.6% | ~22.7% | 79 | 0.0% | ~23% | |
|
SIXD
Target Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer 6-Month
|
buf ~8.6%cap ~7.6%
|
~7.6% | ~8.6% | ~19.8% | 140 | ~-0.5% | ~23% | |
|
QBKF
Target Range
AllianzIM™
IWM · 15% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~13.2%cap ~3.9%
|
~3.9% | ~13.2% | ~18.0% | 79 | 0.0% | ~28% | |
|
IBUF
Target Range
Innovator™
EFA · 10% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~9.3%cap ~3.5%
|
~3.5% | ~9.3% | ~16.0% | 79 | ~-0.1% | ~35% | |
|
QBUF
Extended Range
Innovator™
QQQ · 10% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~7.6%cap ~6.8%
|
~6.8% | ~7.6% | ~31.3% | 79 | 0.0% | ~18% | |
|
RBUF
Extended Range
Innovator™
IWM · 10% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~8.2%cap ~5.3%
|
~5.3% | ~8.2% | ~24.4% | 79 | 0.0% | ~24% | |
|
SIXJ
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
SPY · 10% Buffer 6-Month
|
buf ~9.7%cap ~7.5%
|
~7.5% | ~9.7% | ~16.0% | 171 | ~-0.7% | ~29% | |
|
ZALT
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 10% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~9.8%cap ~3.1%
|
~3.1% | ~9.8% | ~14.3% | 79 | ~-0.5% | ~38% | |
|
QBIF
Extended Range
AllianzIM™
EFA · 15% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~14.5%cap ~2.9%
|
~2.9% | ~14.5% | ~13.5% | 79 | 0.0% | ~37% | |
|
BALT
Extended Range
Innovator™
SPY · 20% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~19.8%cap ~2.0%
|
~2.0% | ~19.8% | ~9.5% | 79 | ~-0.5% | ~42% |
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
6-Month
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
6-Month
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
Quarterly
Range
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
DHDG
Near Cap
First Trust™
SPY · 12% Buffer Quarterly
|
buf ~13.1%cap ~0.2%
|
~0.2% | ~13.1% | ~22.8% | 4 | ~-6.3% | ~71% |
Quarterly
5 of 16 accelerated funds are at their starting thresholds, with the freshest showing a 9% modeled buffer and 352 days remaining in its outcome period. No funds are Near Cap. The remaining 11 are mid-period, spread across annual and quarterly cycles on SPY, QQQ, VOO, GLD, and IVV underlyings.
For informational purposes, not investment advice.
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XBJL
Accel Range
Innovator™
VOO · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~9.0%cap ~12.9%
|
~12.9% | ~9.0% | ~13.4% | 352 | 0.0% | ~30% | |
|
XTJL
Accel Range
Innovator™
VOO · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~16.3%
|
~16.3% | ~0.0% | ~16.9% | 352 | — | ~30% |
Accelerated
Accelerated
| Fund⇅ | ◀ Buffer · Cap ▶ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Ann. Cap⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
QTOC
Near Cap
Innovator™
QQQ · 3x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~3.4%
|
~3.4% | ~0.0% | ~15.9% | 79 | — | ~65% | |
|
XBOC
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~9.0%cap ~2.1%
|
~2.1% | ~9.0% | ~9.7% | 79 | 0.0% | ~50% | |
|
XTOC
Near Cap
Innovator™
SPY · 2x Accelerated
|
buf ~0.0%cap ~2.5%
|
~2.5% | ~0.0% | ~11.8% | 79 | — | ~50% |
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accelerated
Independent Research & Trademark Notices
Innovator™, First Trust™, AllianzIM™, TrueShares™, and iShares™ (BlackRock) are trademarks of their respective owners. Outcome Radar is an independent research publication and is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by these or any other fund providers.
This publication is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer of advisory services. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor’s specific objectives and risk tolerance.
All probability estimates are model-based, hypothetical, and are not predictive of future results. Mathematical observations are based on current market data and modeled outcomes at expiration; they do not account for intra-period volatility or secondary market liquidity.
© 2026 Outcome Radar LLC. All Rights Reserved.
“Quiet” means no classification, not low volume and not low risk. A fund can be quiet and still move. These same funds are itemised in the ETFs Resetting Within 30 Days section further down the report, where you can see each one’s current classification.
Top 10 Widget (Dropdown Switcher) — A single box that holds three different “Top 10” views. Use the dropdown in the widget header to switch between them:
• Closest to Target Range (default) — The 10 ETFs trading closest to their target range. An ETF showing In Range is currently inside that band for its period type (annual, 6-month, or quarterly). Amber means within 0.25% of the band; red is further away. Ranked by absolute distance from the band.
• Asymmetry Ratio — Compares modeled upside with modeled downside on a standardized ±10% index move from today. A 5x ratio means the modeled gain is five times the modeled loss in that scenario. Higher values indicate greater modeled asymmetry, not a recommendation. Funds with fewer than 30 days remaining or non-standard structures are excluded.
• Top Cap Yield — The 10 ETFs with the highest annualized remaining cap. Cap Yield normalizes different time horizons so a fund with 60 days left can be compared to one with 300 days left.
Upcoming Resets & Watchlist — A tabbed widget with two views:
• Upcoming Resets — ETFs with scheduled resets within the next 8 days. At reset, the fund begins a new outcome period with newly established cap and buffer terms.
• Watchlist — Pin up to 10 tickers as display selections. Each card shows the ETF’s current classification (Target Range, Extended Range, Near Cap, etc.), remaining cap, buffer, cap yield, and days to reset. Use the sort bar to reorder by Status, Days, Cap, or Yield. Click any card to jump to that ETF’s row. The watchlist is saved in the browser and changes presentation only; it does not alter calculations, classifications, or report content.
Volume Traded (Treemap) — The 10 most actively traded ETFs from the prior session, sized by volume. Click any box to jump directly to that ETF’s row.
Implied Volatility Chart — Weekly history for VIX (S&P 500), VXN (Nasdaq), and RVX (Russell 2000), with current end-of-day broker-derived readings. Volatility influences option premiums and may affect future reset caps, but the relationship is not one-for-one and the chart is not a timing signal. If historical data is temporarily unavailable, the report clearly labels the widget as a current snapshot rather than drawing an empty graph.
• Buffer funds in Target Range: “~14.2% modeled buffer remaining · ~13.7% remaining cap · 320 days to reset”
• Buffer funds Near Cap: “Near cap condition · ~0.8% remaining cap · 45 days to reset”
• Uncapped / Accelerated / Dual Direction / Floor / 100% Protection funds each get their own phrasing.
Near Cap — ETFs nearing their maximum return for the current outcome period. Remaining upside is limited while downside exposure can remain; no replacement ticker is selected by the report.
Modeled Acceleration Range — Leveraged ETFs (2x/3x) classified by their current position relative to the modeled multiplier threshold and ceiling.
Dual Direction — ETFs with modeled participation in both positive and negative index moves.
Mid-Period Funds — The rest of the ETF universe for that tab’s buffer type. Collapsed by default — expand to see every fund with basic metrics.