Outcome Radar - June 19, 2026

Today's analysis: 20 near entry, 0 near acceleration, 52 near cap. Total 75 signals.

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Outcome Radar - Nightly Defined Outcome Intelligence - June 19, 2026

HOW TO USE THIS REPORT

A quick walkthrough of every feature in your nightly Outcome Radar™ report
Step 1 of 8

Welcome to Outcome Radar

Every night, Outcome Radar™ scans its tracked universe of Defined Outcome ETFs and organizes the results into consistent research states.

Five fund providers are tracked and color-coded throughout:

Innovator™ First Trust™ AllianzIM™ TrueShares™ iShares™
Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
📡
OUTCOME RADAR
NIGHTLY DEFINED OUTCOME INTELLIGENCE
Step 2 of 8

The Stats Bar & Market Data

Five key numbers at the top summarize the report’s current classifications.

Target / Extended Range reports how many ETFs are trading near their original starting-price ranges. The current modeled Remaining Cap and Remaining Buffer columns show each fund’s present values. Near Cap identifies funds approaching their ceiling.

Below that, T-Bill yields are your risk-free benchmark, and Implied Volatility shows conditions for each tracked index.

Note: A higher Target / Extended Range count indicates a larger volume of funds currently trading near baseline outcome-period parameters.
Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
315
ETFs Analyzed
20
Target / Extended
3
Uncapped Target
0
Accel Range
52
Near Cap
Step 3 of 8

Filters & Search Tools

The toolbar provides filtering controls. All filters work in combination to narrow the displayed results.

Provider — Toggle Innovator™, First Trust™, AllianzIM™, TrueShares™, or iShares™ on/off.

Status — Target Range, Extended Range, Modeled Acceleration Range, Near Cap, and Mid-Period.

Period — Quarterly, Semi-Annual, Annual, or 2-Year.

Full Sweep / Quick Scan — Toggle on the right side of the toolbar. Full Sweep (default) shows every column. Quick Scan hides secondary metrics so only Status, Ticker, Provider, Days, and Cap Yield remain.

Ticker search in the toolbar finds any ETF by symbol — even funds in the collapsed Mid-Period Funds section.

Coverage note: If an ETF is not in a flagged classification, it still appears in the Mid-Period Funds section at the bottom of each tab — every ticker is searchable.
View note: Quick Scan can be combined with the Target and Extended Range filters to display a reduced set of current classifications.
Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Provider
Innovator™ × First Trust™ × AllianzIM™ × TrueShares™ × iShares™ ×
Status
✓ Target Range ✓ Extended Range
🔍 Search ticker
Step 4 of 8

The Executive Summary

At the top of every tab you’ll see a small Executive Summary pill. Click it to expand a one-paragraph, plain-English read on what’s happening in that tab tonight.

The summary is produced each night from the numbers in the tab — how many funds sit in Target/Extended Range, how many are Near Cap, how much time is left, and how the remaining funds are distributed across the outcome period. It’s descriptive, not prescriptive.

Every summary ends with the same line, shown on its own row in bold italics:

For informational purposes, not investment advice.
Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
📝 Executive Summary

6 of 48 annual-cycle funds are Near Cap and approaching the top of their current payoff curves. 1 fund is in Target/Extended Range with its current modeled Remaining Cap and Remaining Buffer reported below; the remaining 41 are mid-period.

For informational purposes, not investment advice.

Step 5 of 8

The Target / Extended Range Table

This is the report’s starting-parameter research section. ETFs here are near their outcome-period starting bands. Use the current Remaining Cap and Remaining Buffer columns for the fund-specific modeled values.

Click any column header to sort. Sorting by Distance from Target Range displays each fund’s current distance alongside its Cap Yield and Asymmetry values.

Column reference: Cap yield is the annualized remaining cap; Modeled Probability % is a model-based estimate; DBB (Downside Before Buffer) measures how far the index can fall before buffer absorption begins.
Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
🎯 Target / Extended Range 50
StatusTickerCap YldRem. Cap
ExtendedKJAN~20.8%~15.2%
TargetIJAN~17.9%~13.5%
Step 6 of 8

ETF Outcome Profiler

All calculations are estimates and are net of fund fees.

Click any ETF row to open a slide-in detail panel showing the complete picture.

Outcome Profile Chart — One amber payoff line showing the modeled period-end fund return at each index-return point. Colored bands mark the Target Range, Extended Range, and Loss Zone. The white NOW dot marks today’s index level on the curve and visually indicates the current cap and buffer state.

Current Structural Note — A one-line factual summary under the chart, based on the product type and current modeled values. Near Cap funds are labeled as a Near cap condition; the publication does not identify a replacement ticker.

Provider Link — Direct link to the fund’s page for the full factsheet.

Close the panel with the × button, clicking outside, or pressing Escape.
Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
IMAR
Innovator ETFs™ · EFA – 15% Buffer Annual
✓ Target Range
Modeled Outcome Profile at Expiration
~-23% ~-13.4% ~0% ~13.7% ~18% Fund Return (%) Index Return (%)
Buffer~-13.4%
Start~0%
Cap~+13.7%
Below Buffer
Buffer Zone
Cap Ceiling
Target Range
Fund (now)
Index (now)
Current Structural Note ~14.2% modeled buffer remaining · ~13.7% remaining cap · 320 days to reset
~0%
% Cap Used
~0%
% Buffer Used
~15.6%
Cap Yield
13.7%
Rem. Cap
13.4%
Rem. Buffer
320
Days Left
Step 7 of 8

Intelligence Dashboard

Near the top of the report, below the Nightly Research Briefing, the Intelligence Dashboard collects several comparison views in one place. Every ticker is clickable — clicking jumps to that ETF’s row.

Top 10 Widget — One box, three views. Use the dropdown in the widget header to switch:

Closest to Target Range (default) — The 10 ETFs trading closest to their target range. In Range means currently inside that band for the period type. Amber = within 0.25% of the band; red = further away.

Asymmetry Ratio — Modeled upside relative to modeled downside on a standardized ±10% index move. A higher ratio indicates more upside than downside in that specific scenario; it is not a recommendation. Funds with under 30 days left or non-standard structures are excluded.

Top Cap Yield — The 10 ETFs with the highest annualized remaining cap. Normalizes time horizons so a 60-day fund can be compared to a 300-day one.

Upcoming Resets & Watchlist — Tabbed widget. Resets displays ETFs with scheduled resets within 8 days. Watchlist stores up to 10 display selections with current classification, cap, buffer, yield, and days. It changes presentation only and does not alter calculations or classifications.

Volume Traded — Treemap of the 10 most actively traded ETFs from the prior session, sized by volume. Click any tile to jump straight to that ETF’s row.

Implied Volatility — Weekly VIX, VXN, and RVX history with current broker-derived readings. Volatility can affect option premiums and future reset terms, but it does not determine them by itself.

Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
TOP 10
Closest to Target Range ▾
IMARIn Range
KJAN+0.18%
FOCT+0.31%
UPCOMING RESETS
WATCHLIST
SMAY3 days
QSPT7 days
VOLUME TRADED (PRIOR SESSION)
IMAR
SMAY
FOCT
KJAN
QSPT
Step 8 of 8

Report Navigation Summary

This reference sequence follows the report from top to bottom:

1. Read the Nightly Research Briefing — confirm the data date and review what changed.

2. Check the Intelligence Dashboard — compare Target Range distance, asymmetry, cap yield, resets, volume, watchlist, and volatility context.

3. Review the Stats Bar and open a strategy tab.

4. Use filters or ticker search, then review Target / Extended Range, Near Cap, and Mid-Period Funds.

5. Open an ETF Outcome Profiler — review the modeled payoff, current metrics, and Current Structural Note.

6. Save your preferred layout so the next report opens the same way.

Data refresh: The report rebuilds nightly around 11 PM, Monday through Friday on non-holiday days. If you open it before that window, you’re looking at the prior session’s data.
Close this tutorial and use the graduation-cap button to reopen it. The information button opens the detailed How to Use guide, and the ? button opens the glossary.
Outcome Radar™ is for informational & educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
REFERENCE COMPLETE
Close this overlay to return to the report.
315
ETFs Analyzed
20
Target / Extended
3
Uncapped Target
0
Accel Range
52
Near Cap
1 Mo T-Bill
3.74%
3 Mo T-Bill
3.73%
6 Mo T-Bill
3.75%
12 Mo T-Bill
3.77%
SPY IV
14.9%
QQQ IV
25.4%
IWM IV
23.0%
EFA IV
14.5%
EEM IV
33.2%
RSP IV
13.5%
Provider
Innovator × First Trust × AllianzIM × TrueShares × iShares ×
Status
✓ Target Range × ✓ Extended Range × ✓ Target / Extended × ⚡ Uncapped × Accel Range × Near Cap ×
Period
✓ Quarterly × ✓ Semi-Annual × ✓ Annual × ✓ 2-Year ×
General, impersonal research. Not individualized advice or a recommendation. Modeled values are estimates and may differ from realized outcomes. Filters, saved layouts, and watchlist selections change display preferences only; they do not alter calculations, classifications, or report content.
Showing all ETFs
Nightly Research Briefing
Data as of 2026-06-18 · Generated June 19, 2026 4:35 PM
20
Target / Extended
3
Uncapped Target
0
Accel Range
52
Near Cap
8
Quiet Funds <30 Days
What Changed Since Yesterday
  • New Target/Extended Range: None tonight
  • New Near Cap: None tonight
  • Signals No Longer Active: None tonight
Intelligence Dashboard

Closest to Target Range

Fund Return distance from period's target range Target Range
# Ticker Fund Ret. Target Band Days Distance
1 SIXD -0.28% -0.60% to +0.15% 165d In Range
2 PJUN -0.35% -1.29% to -0.29% 347d In Range
3 JUNT -0.38% -1.29% to -0.29% 347d In Range
4 UJUN -0.57% -1.29% to -0.29% 347d In Range
5 BJUN -0.64% -1.29% to -0.29% 347d In Range
6 JNEU -1.02% -1.29% to -0.29% 347d In Range
7 NJUN -0.24% -1.29% to -0.29% 347d 0.05% away
8 JUNW -0.23% -1.29% to -0.29% 347d 0.06% away
9 JUNZ -1.58% -1.29% to -0.29% 348d 0.29% away
10 MAYM +0.24% -1.29% to -0.29% 337d 0.53% away

Asymmetry Ratio

Fund upside ÷ downside on a ±10% index move · 0.50% floor ±10% Index
# Ticker Idx Ret. Up 10% Dn 10% Ratio
1 TMAR +27.2% +12.7% -0.6% 19.8x
2 EAPR +24.6% +11.5% -0.7% 16.4x
3 NMAR +21.9% +7.6% -0.6% 13.7x
4 QDEC +20.0% +6.8% -0.5% 13.6x
5 NFEB +19.1% +6.6% -0.5% 13.1x
6 NJUN +0.3% +9.8% -0.8% 13.0x
7 JUNZ -1.3% +9.5% -0.8% 12.7x
8 TDEC +31.8% +6.3% -0.5% 12.7x
9 KJAN +20.1% +6.2% -0.5% 12.4x
10 QMAR +27.2% +7.8% -0.6% 12.3x

Top Cap Yield

Rem. Cap ÷ Days × 365 · Min 30 days Annualized
# Ticker Rem. Cap Days Yield
1 BGLD +13.23% 74d 65.3%
2 STEN +7.05% 106d 24.3%
3 BNOV +7.95% 135d 21.5%
4 INOV +7.74% 135d 20.9%
5 NVBT +7.34% 135d 19.9%
6 BJUN +18.02% 347d 18.9%
7 IAUG +2.22% 43d 18.8%
8 NJUN +17.91% 347d 18.8%
9 KJUN +17.70% 347d 18.6%
10 JUNT +17.28% 347d 18.2%
DJUN0d
FT0.00%
FJUN0d
FT0.00%
GJUN0d
FT0.00%
JUNM0d
FT0.00%
QJUN0d
FT0.00%
RSJN0d
FT0.00%
SQMX0d
FT0.00%
TJUN0d
FT0.00%
XJUN0d
FT0.00%
YJUN0d
FT0.00%
Volume Traded 2026-06-18
#1GJUN467.1KFT · SPY
#2BALT375.3KINNV · SPY
#3QJUN276.9KFT · QQQ
#4DJUN275.7KFT · SPY
#5PJUN271.2KINNV · SPY
#6GJUL247.1KFT · SPY
#7KJUN160.5KINNV · IWM
#8FJUN151.7KFT · SPY
#9NJUN142.7KINNV · QQQ
#10EOCT124.5K
0 / 10
Add up to 10 tickers to track

Implied Volatility — Option Premium Context

1Y Weekly History
VIX 14.93 +2% vs avg VXN 25.42 +29% above avg Higher option-premium environment for QQQ RVX 22.98 +4% vs avg
Historical index series; latest broker IV snapshot: 2026-06-18. Gaps indicate unavailable observations.
🎯 🎯 Target / Extended Range 2
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Target
Range
BJUNSPY9% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~18.0% ~7.7% 347 ~-0.1% ~19.0% ~16%
Target
Range
JUNTSPY10% Buffer Annual
AllianzIM ~17.3% ~8.5% 347 ~-0.3% ~18.2% ~17%
Sort by:
BJUN 9% Buffer
Annual
Target
Range
JUNT 10% Buffer
Annual
Target
Range
▲ Near Cap 4
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Near Cap
JULTSPY10% Buffer Annual
AllianzIM ~0.3% ~12.4% 12 ~-13.2% ~8.8% ~93%
Near Cap
BJULSPY9% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~0.3% ~11.0% 12 ~-13.7% ~9.1% ~90%
Near Cap
FJULSPY10% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~0.8% ~12.1% 29 ~-12.2% ~9.6% ~79%
Near Cap
BAUGSPY9% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~1.5% ~10.4% 43 ~-12.6% ~12.6% ~67%
Sort by:
JULT 10% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
BJUL 9% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
FJUL 10% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
BAUG 9% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
🎯 💎 Target / Extended Range 7
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Target
Range
PJUNSPY15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~13.4% ~13.4% 347 ~-0.4% ~14.1% ~22%
Extended
Range
NJUNQQQ15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~17.9% ~14.7% 347 ~-0.5% ~18.8% ~18%
Extended
Range
KJUNIWM15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~17.7% ~14.8% 347 ~-1.6% ~18.6% ~19%
Extended
Range
IMAREFA15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~12.3% ~12.8% 255 ~-1.4% ~17.7% ~19%
Extended
Range
IJUNEFA15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~14.1% ~13.1% 347 ~-1.6% ~14.8% ~21%
Extended
Range
GMAYSPY15% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~11.9% ~14.0% 337 ~-1.8% ~12.9% ~26%
Extended
Range
XMAYSPY15% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~9.4% ~14.3% 337 ~-1.6% ~10.1% ~31%
Sort by:
PJUN 15% Buffer
Annual
Target
Range
NJUN 15% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
KJUN 15% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
IMAR 15% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
IJUN 15% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
GMAY 15% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
XMAY 15% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
▲ Near Cap 11
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Near Cap
EJULEEM15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~0.1% ~29.8% 12 ~-12.3% ~3.6% >95%
Near Cap
KJULIWM15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~0.2% ~23.3% 12 ~-14.7% ~5.5% >95%
Near Cap
NJULQQQ15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~0.2% ~23.9% 12 ~-12.7% ~6.4% >95%
Near Cap
KAUGIWM15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~0.8% ~22.7% 43 ~-14.2% ~6.9% >95%
Near Cap
NAUGQQQ15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~1.0% ~23.0% 43 ~-12.2% ~8.2% >95%
Near Cap
PJULSPY15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~0.3% ~19.0% 12 ~-10.7% ~8.2% >95%
Near Cap
SAUGIWM15% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~1.5% ~21.3% 64 ~-13.4% ~8.4% ~94%
Near Cap
XJULSPY15% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~0.4% ~19.6% 29 ~-9.0% ~4.7% ~93%
Near Cap
GJULSPY15% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~0.8% ~18.3% 29 ~-10.2% ~9.4% ~88%
Near Cap
IJULEFA15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~0.3% ~15.3% 12 ~-11.9% ~8.8% ~83%
Near Cap
PAUGSPY15% Buffer Annual
Innovator ~1.1% ~17.9% 43 ~-10.1% ~8.9% ~82%
Sort by:
EJUL 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
KJUL 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
NJUL 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
KAUG 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
NAUG 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
PJUL 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
SAUG 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
XJUL 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
GJUL 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
IJUL 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
PAUG 15% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
🎯 💪 Target / Extended Range 4
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Target
Range
UJUNVOO30% Ultra Buffer
Innovator ~13.9% ~29.1% 347 ~-5.2% ~14.6% ~22%
Extended
Range
DMAYSPY25% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~11.8% ~24.1% 337 ~-6.7% ~12.7% ~27%
Extended
Range
JUNWSPY20% Buffer Annual
AllianzIM ~11.6% ~18.4% 347 ~-0.5% ~12.1% ~25%
Extended
Range
MAYMSPY50% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~5.9% ~98.9% 337 ~-1.1% ~6.4% ~39%
Sort by:
UJUN 30% Ultra
Buffer
Target
Range
DMAY 25% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
JUNW 20% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
MAYM 50% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
▲ Near Cap 6
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Near Cap
QCJLQQQ20% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~0.5% ~29.0% 29 ~-10.4% ~6.8% >95%
Near Cap
JULWSPY20% Buffer Annual
AllianzIM ~0.3% ~24.4% 12 ~-9.5% ~8.2% >95%
Near Cap
UJULSPY30% Ultra Buffer
Innovator ~0.2% ~31.4% 12 ~-14.8% ~4.9% >95%
Near Cap
JULMSPY50% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~0.3% ~65.5% 29 ~-6.3% ~4.2% >95%
Near Cap
DJULSPY25% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~0.6% ~26.3% 29 ~-14.8% ~7.4% ~88%
Near Cap
UAUGSPY30% Ultra Buffer
Innovator ~0.9% ~30.7% 43 ~-14.3% ~7.9% ~84%
Sort by:
QCJL 20% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
JULW 20% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
UJUL 30% Ultra
Buffer
Near Cap
JULM 50% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
DJUL 25% Buffer
Annual
Near Cap
UAUG 30% Ultra
Buffer
Near Cap
🎯 ⚡ Target / Extended Range 3
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Thresh. Modeled
Probability %
View
Target
Range
MAYUSPY15% Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM ~0.0% ~14.4% 316 ~-3.1% ~3.6% Spread N/A
Target
Range
JNEUSPY15% Uncapped Buffer
AllianzIM ~0.0% ~14.3% 347 0.0% ~4.3% Spread N/A
Extended
Range
JUNZSPY10% Uncapped Buffer
TrueShares ~0.0% ~8.7% 348 ~-0.1% ~75% Partic. N/A
Sort by:
MAYU 15%
Uncapped Buffer
Target
Range
JNEU 15%
Uncapped Buffer
Target
Range
JUNZ 10%
Uncapped Buffer
Extended
Range
🎯 🛡 Target / Extended Range 2
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Target
Range
ZJUNVOO100% Protection
Innovator ~7.5% ~99.5% 347 ~-0.5% ~7.9% ~33%
Extended
Range
APXMSPY100% Buffer Annual
First Trust ~5.4% ~51.0% 302 ~-1.6% ~6.5% ~48%
Sort by:
ZJUN 100%
Protection
Target
Range
APXM 100% Buffer
Annual
Extended
Range
▲ Near Cap 4
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Near Cap
AJULSPY100% Protection
Innovator ~0.1% ~84.2% 12 ~-15.8% ~1.5% >95%
Near Cap
ZJULSPY100% Protection
Innovator ~0.2% ~93.6% 12 ~-6.4% ~7.6% >95%
Near Cap
FLJJSPY5% Floor 6-Month
AllianzIM ~0.4% ~5.0% 12 0.0% ~11.9% >95%
Near Cap
JAJLSPY100% Protection
Innovator ~0.3% ~97.1% 12 ~-2.9% ~8.8% ~94%
Sort by:
AJUL 100%
Protection
Near Cap
ZJUL 100%
Protection
Near Cap
FLJJ 5% Floor
6-Month
Near Cap
JAJL 100%
Protection
Near Cap
🎯 ↔ Target / Extended Range 3
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Extended
Range
DDTZVOODual Direction 10% Annual
Innovator ~14.6% ~8.2% 347 ~-0.8% ~15.3% ~25%
Extended
Range
DLMYSPYDual Direction 10% Annual
First Trust ~12.3% ~9.2% 337 ~-1.7% ~13.4% ~28%
Extended
Range
DDFZVOODual Direction 15% Annual
Innovator ~9.9% ~13.2% 347 ~-0.8% ~10.4% ~32%
Sort by:
DDTZ Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Extended
Range
DLMY Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Extended
Range
DDFZ Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Extended
Range
▲ Near Cap 5
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Near Cap
DDNQQQQDual Direction 5% Quarterly
Innovator ~0.0% ~19.5% 12 ~-6.5% ~0.6% ~50%
Near Cap
DDFLSPYDual Direction 15% Annual
Innovator ~0.2% ~21.6% 12 ~-8.1% ~4.9% ~48%
Near Cap
DDFSSPYDual Direction 15% Annual
Innovator ~1.2% ~19.0% 74 ~-7.5% ~5.8% ~45%
Near Cap
DDSQSPYDual Direction 5% Quarterly
Innovator ~0.0% ~11.9% 12 ~-5.4% ~0.0%
Near Cap
DDTLSPYDual Direction 10% Annual
Innovator ~0.0% ~14.2% 12 ~-11.4% ~0.0%
Sort by:
DDNQ Dual
Direction 5% Quarterly
Near Cap
DDFL Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Near Cap
DDFS Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Near Cap
DDSQ Dual
Direction 5% Quarterly
Near Cap
DDTL Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Near Cap
🎯 📅 Target / Extended Range 1
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Target
Range
SIXDSPY10% Buffer 6-Month
AllianzIM ~8.0% ~8.7% 165 ~-0.1% ~17.7% ~24%
Sort by:
SIXD 10% Buffer
6-Month
Target
Range
▲ Near Cap 13
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Near Cap
QBQFQQQ15% Buffer Quarterly
AllianzIM ~0.0% ~30.1% 12 ~-3.7% ~0.0% >95%
Near Cap
QBUFQQQ10% Buffer Quarterly
Innovator ~0.1% ~24.8% 12 ~-5.1% ~3.3% >95%
Near Cap
QBQVQQQ5% Buffer Quarterly
AllianzIM ~0.0% ~18.4% 12 ~-7.5% ~0.0% >95%
Near Cap
EBUFEEM10% Buffer Quarterly
Innovator ~0.2% ~20.6% 12 ~-7.2% ~6.1% >95%
Near Cap
QBKFIWM15% Buffer Quarterly
AllianzIM ~0.0% ~24.5% 12 ~-4.2% ~0.0% >95%
Near Cap
RBUFIWM10% Buffer Quarterly
Innovator ~0.1% ~18.5% 12 ~-6.0% ~3.6% >95%
Near Cap
BALTSPY20% Buffer Quarterly
Innovator ~0.0% ~27.8% 12 ~-2.6% ~0.0% >95%
Near Cap
QBSFSPY15% Buffer Quarterly
AllianzIM ~0.0% ~22.9% 12 ~-3.1% ~0.9% >95%
Near Cap
ZALTSPY10% Buffer Quarterly
Innovator ~0.1% ~17.5% 12 ~-4.1% ~1.8% >95%
Near Cap
QBKVIWM5% Buffer Quarterly
AllianzIM ~0.1% ~11.1% 12 ~-9.2% ~1.5% >95%
Near Cap
EALTVOO5-15% Buffer Quarterly
Innovator ~0.1% ~15.4% 12 ~-10.8% ~3.6% >95%
Near Cap
QBSVSPY5% Buffer Quarterly
AllianzIM ~0.0% ~11.2% 12 ~-6.1% ~0.6% >95%
Near Cap
SIXJSPY10% Buffer 6-Month
AllianzIM ~0.5% ~11.7% 12 ~-6.2% ~13.7% ~75%
Sort by:
QBQF 15% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
QBUF 10% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
QBQV 5% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
EBUF 10% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
QBKF 15% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
RBUF 10% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
BALT 20% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
QBSF 15% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
ZALT 10% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
QBKV 5% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
EALT 5-15% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
QBSV 5% Buffer
Quarterly
Near Cap
SIXJ 10% Buffer
6-Month
Near Cap
🎯 🚀 Target / Extended Range 1
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Target
Range
BGLDGLD10% Buffer Quarterly
First Trust ~13.2% ~7.3% 74 ~-1.1% ~65.3% ~5%
Sort by:
BGLD 10% Buffer
Quarterly
Target
Range
▲ Accelerated — Near Cap 9
Status Ticker Provider Rem.
Cap
Rem.
Buf
Days DBB Cap
Yld
Modeled
Probability %
View
Near Cap
QTJLQQQ3x Accelerated
Innovator ~0.1% ~0.0% 12 ~4.0% ~90%
Near Cap
TWOXIVV2x Accelerated
iShares ~0.1% ~0.0% 12 ~4.6% ~90%
Near Cap
XBJLSPY2x Accelerated
Innovator ~0.1% ~9.0% 12 0.0% ~4.3% ~90%
Near Cap
XDQQQQQ2x Accelerated
Innovator ~0.2% ~0.0% 12 ~6.4% ~90%
Near Cap
XDSQVOO2x Accelerated
Innovator ~0.2% ~0.0% 12 ~5.5% ~90%
Near Cap
XTJLSPY2x Accelerated
Innovator ~0.2% ~0.0% 12 ~6.7% ~90%
Near Cap
QTOCQQQ3x Accelerated
Innovator ~3.5% ~0.0% 104 ~12.2% ~65%
Near Cap
XBOCSPY2x Accelerated
Innovator ~2.8% ~9.0% 104 0.0% ~9.9% ~50%
Near Cap
XTOCSPY2x Accelerated
Innovator ~3.3% ~0.0% 104 ~11.6% ~50%
Sort by:
QTJL 3x
Accelerated
Near Cap
TWOX 2x
Accelerated
Near Cap
XBJL 2x
Accelerated
Near Cap
XDQQ 2x
Accelerated
Near Cap
XDSQ 2x
Accelerated
Near Cap
XTJL 2x
Accelerated
Near Cap
QTOC 3x
Accelerated
Near Cap
XBOC 2x
Accelerated
Near Cap
XTOC 2x
Accelerated
Near Cap

Independent Research & Trademark Notices

Innovator™, First Trust™, AllianzIM™, TrueShares™, and iShares™ (BlackRock) are trademarks of their respective owners. Outcome Radar is an independent research publication and is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by these or any other fund providers.

This publication is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer of advisory services. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor’s specific objectives and risk tolerance.

All probability estimates are model-based, hypothetical, and are not predictive of future results. Mathematical observations are based on current market data and modeled outcomes at expiration; they do not account for intra-period volatility or secondary market liquidity.

© 2026 Outcome Radar LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Modeled Outcome Profile at Expiration
Below Buffer
Buffer Zone
Cap Ceiling
Target Range
Fund (now)
Index (now)
~0%
% Cap Used
~0%
% Buffer Used
~0%
Cap Yield
~0%
Rem. Cap
~0%
Rem. Buffer
0
Days Left
How to Use This Report
Intelligence Dashboard
The collapsible dashboard at the top summarizes current report metrics. Click the Intelligence Dashboard bar to expand or collapse it. Every ticker and volume box in the dashboard is clickable — click it and the report automatically switches tabs, expands the corresponding section, and scrolls to that ETF’s row (which briefly flashes amber to identify the row).

Top 10 Widget (Dropdown Switcher) — A single box that holds three different “Top 10” views. Use the dropdown in the widget header to switch between them:
  • Closest to Target Range (default) — The 10 ETFs trading closest to their target range. An ETF showing In Range is currently inside that band for its period type (annual, 6-month, or quarterly). Amber means within 0.25% of the band; red is further away. Ranked by absolute distance from the band.
  • Asymmetry Ratio — Compares modeled upside with modeled downside on a standardized ±10% index move from today. A 5x ratio means the modeled gain is five times the modeled loss in that scenario. Higher values indicate greater modeled asymmetry, not a recommendation. Funds with fewer than 30 days remaining or non-standard structures are excluded.
  • Top Cap Yield — The 10 ETFs with the highest annualized remaining cap. Cap Yield normalizes different time horizons so a fund with 60 days left can be compared to one with 300 days left.

Upcoming Resets & Watchlist — A tabbed widget with two views:
  • Upcoming Resets — ETFs with scheduled resets within the next 8 days. At reset, the fund begins a new outcome period with newly established cap and buffer terms.
  • Watchlist — Pin up to 10 tickers as display selections. Each card shows the ETF’s current classification (Target Range, Extended Range, Near Cap, etc.), remaining cap, buffer, cap yield, and days to reset. Use the sort bar to reorder by Status, Days, Cap, or Yield. Click any card to jump to that ETF’s row. The watchlist is saved in the browser and changes presentation only; it does not alter calculations, classifications, or report content.

Volume Traded (Treemap) — The 10 most actively traded ETFs from the prior session, sized by volume. Click any box to jump directly to that ETF’s row.

Implied Volatility Chart — Weekly history for VIX (S&P 500), VXN (Nasdaq), and RVX (Russell 2000), with current end-of-day broker-derived readings. Volatility influences option premiums and may affect future reset caps, but the relationship is not one-for-one and the chart is not a timing signal. If historical data is temporarily unavailable, the report clearly labels the widget as a current snapshot rather than drawing an empty graph.
Tab Navigation
The report is organized into 8 tabs in this order: Standard 9%, Buffer 11-19%, Buffer 20%+, Uncapped, 100% Buffer, Dual Direction, 3&6 Month Buffers, and Specialty. Specialty includes accelerated products and other structures that do not fit the standard buffer tabs. Click a tab to see only the ETFs in that category.
Executive Summary (top of each tab)
Every tab opens with a small Executive Summary pill above the tables. Click it to expand a one-paragraph plain-English read on what’s happening in that tab tonight — how many funds sit in Target/Extended Range, how many are Near Cap, how much time remains, and how the rest of the tab is distributed. Language is descriptive, not prescriptive. Every summary ends with For informational purposes, not investment advice. on its own line.
Current Structural Note (under each chart)
When you open an ETF’s detail panel, the Current Structural Note sits just under the Outcome Profile chart. It is a factual line based on the product type and current modeled values — for example:
• Buffer funds in Target Range: “~14.2% modeled buffer remaining · ~13.7% remaining cap · 320 days to reset”
• Buffer funds Near Cap: “Near cap condition · ~0.8% remaining cap · 45 days to reset”
• Uncapped / Accelerated / Dual Direction / Floor / 100% Protection funds each get their own phrasing.
Reading the Outcome Profile Chart
The chart plots one amber payoff line (net of fund fees) against index return. Colored bands mark the Target Range (green), Extended Range (amber), and Loss Zone (red). The white NOW dot marks today’s index level on the payoff curve and visually indicates the current modeled cap and buffer state. Dashed vertical reference lines mark the BUFFER, START, and CAP levels.
Expand Report Sections
Within each tab, ETFs are grouped into Target / Extended Range (closest to original starting parameters), Near Cap (approaching the current period ceiling), and Mid-Period Funds (the remaining classifications for that buffer type). Click the section header to expand or collapse it. Near Cap sections start open to display current structural conditions; Mid-Period Funds starts collapsed.
Near Cap Funds
When an ETF is approaching its cap, the Current Structural Note shows “Near cap condition · [remaining cap] · [days] to reset.” This is a factual classification, not an instruction to trade. The publication does not identify a specific replacement ticker for any individual fund. The database and filters provide generally available comparisons by underlying index, buffer, period, and current metrics.
Compare Current Metrics
Click any column header on desktop to sort that section. On mobile, use the sort bar below each table. Distance from Target Range orders funds by proximity to the original starting-price range, Cap Yield orders the displayed annualized remaining-cap values, and Days orders scheduled reset timing.
Use Filters to Narrow Down
The provider, period, and status chips at the top let you isolate specific fund families, time horizons, or classification types. The ticker search box lets you jump directly to a specific ETF regardless of tab.
Save Your Layout
When viewing the report through Outcome Radar, a Save Layout button sits just above the report. It remembers which tab is active, which sections are open or collapsed, which filter chips are on, and which executive summaries are expanded. Reset Layout clears the saved view and returns the report to its default state. This subscriber-specific setting changes presentation only; it does not alter data, calculations, classifications, or substantive content.

View Details & Payoff Curves
Click "View" on any ETF row to open a side panel with the modeled payoff curve, key metrics, and current period visualization.
Toggle Quick Scan Mode
The Full Sweep / Quick Scan toggle at the top right changes the displayed columns. Quick Scan keeps Status, Ticker, Provider, Days, and Cap Yield while hiding secondary metrics.

Section Guide
Target / Extended Range — ETFs trading closest to their original starting-price range. Current modeled Remaining Cap and Remaining Buffer values are shown for each fund. Sorted by distance from target range.

Near Cap — ETFs nearing their maximum return for the current outcome period. Remaining upside is limited while downside exposure can remain; no replacement ticker is selected by the report.

Modeled Acceleration Range — Leveraged ETFs (2x/3x) classified by their current position relative to the modeled multiplier threshold and ceiling.

Dual Direction — ETFs with modeled participation in both positive and negative index moves.

Mid-Period Funds — The rest of the ETF universe for that tab’s buffer type. Collapsed by default — expand to see every fund with basic metrics.
Glossary of Terms
Remaining Cap (Rem. Cap)
The modeled fund return remaining before the current outcome-period ceiling. All values are net of fund fees.
Remaining Buffer (Rem. Buf)
The amount of modeled index-side decline still covered by the fund’s stated buffer before additional fund loss begins.
Days
Calendar days left until the outcome period resets. At reset, the fund starts a new cap and buffer cycle.
DBB (Downside Before Buffer)
The amount of fund loss before the buffer starts.
Cap Yield (Cap Yld)
The remaining cap expressed as an annualized return. Lets you compare ETFs with different time horizons on equal footing.
Modeled Probability %
A derived ratio expressing the option-market-implied likelihood that the underlying index will reach the cap level over the remaining outcome period. Calculated from current implied volatility and time remaining using a standard Black-Scholes model. This is a mathematical observation of what the options market currently implies, not a forecast, prediction, or recommendation by Outcome Radar. The value changes as market conditions change.
Target Range
The fund is trading closest to its original starting-price range after the fund fee. Current modeled Remaining Cap and Remaining Buffer values are shown separately in the report. The range is shown as the narrow green band on the Outcome Profile chart.
Extended Range
The fund is near, but slightly outside, the tightest starting-price range. Current modeled Remaining Cap and Remaining Buffer values are shown separately in the report. The range is shown as the wider amber band on the chart.
Near Cap
The fund is at or near its maximum return for the period. Little upside remains, but downside risk is still present.
Modeled Acceleration Range
The current modeled range around a leveraged ETF’s multiplier threshold. The classification describes the fund’s position relative to its threshold and ceiling; it is not a recommendation.
% Cap Used / % Buffer Used
How much of the original cap or buffer has already been consumed by index movement since the period started.
NOW Marker
The white dot on the Outcome Profile chart, positioned on the payoff curve at today’s index level. It visually marks the fund’s current modeled position.
Current Structural Note
The one-line factual strip under each chart that summarizes current modeled values in the context of the product type — e.g., “~14.2% modeled buffer remaining · ~13.7% remaining cap · 320 days to reset”.
Reset
The end of an outcome period. The fund closes out its current options package and opens a new period with a fresh cap and the same stated buffer.
Near Cap Condition
A factual classification used when a fund is at or near its current outcome-period ceiling. It is not an instruction to trade, and the report does not select a replacement ticker.
Implied Volatility (IV)
An options-market measure of expected variability, expressed as an annualized percentage. Outcome Radar shows current broker-derived readings and weekly VIX, VXN, and RVX history when available. IV can influence option premiums and future reset terms, but it is not a forecast or timing signal.
Executive Summary
The one-paragraph plain-English read at the top of each tab. Descriptive, not prescriptive; always ends with “For informational purposes, not investment advice.”
Save Layout
A per-user setting that remembers your preferred view of the report (active tab, open sections, filter chips, expanded summaries) and re-applies it every time you sign in. Available when viewing the report through Outcome Radar. Use the Save Layout button above the report to save, Reset Layout to clear.
Watchlist
A browser-saved display list of up to 10 tickers. Each card shows the fund’s current classification, remaining cap, buffer, cap yield, and days to reset. The watchlist changes presentation only and does not alter calculations, classifications, or substantive report content.