Outcome Radar - March 13, 2026
Today's analysis: 80 near entry, 3 near acceleration, 27 near cap. Total 110 signals.
Data as of: March 13, 2026 at 10:54 AM ET
March 13, 2026
Independent Analysis · Not affiliated with any Fund Provider
277
ETFs Analyzed
80
Near Entry
3
Accel. Zone
27
Near Cap
1 Mo T-Bill
3.64%
3 Mo T-Bill
3.65%
6 Mo T-Bill
3.53%
12 Mo T-Bill
3.58%
SPY IV
21.7%
QQQ IV
22.5%
IWM IV
31.0%
EFA IV
25.0%
EEM IV
31.0%
RSP IV
21.0%
★ Opportunity Score*
≥7
≥5
≥2
≥0
<0
N/A
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Show Details ▼
Showing all ETFs
🎯 Near Original Entry 61
| Status | Ticker | Provider | Score*⇅ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Cap Yld⇅ |
Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Range |
QBUFQQQ10% Buffer Quarterly |
Innovator™ | 0.2 | ~3.7% | ~7.3% | 19 | ~-0.1% | ~71.1% | ~12% | |
| Target Range |
ZALTSPY10% Buffer Quarterly |
Innovator™ | 0.1 | ~2.9% | ~7.7% | 19 | ~-0.1% | ~55.1% | ~17% | |
| Target Range |
SIXZSPY10% Buffer 6-Month |
AllianzIM™ | 1.5 | ~7.8% | ~7.6% | 49 | ~-0.3% | ~58.0% | ~10% | |
| Target Range |
SIXDSPY10% Buffer 6-Month |
AllianzIM™ | 1.9 | ~8.0% | ~7.7% | 80 | — | ~36.3% | ~16% | |
| Target Range |
BNOVSPY9% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 5.9 | ~17.9% | ~7.0% | 233 | — | ~28.1% | ~10% | |
| Target Range |
NVBTSPY10% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 5.9 | ~16.9% | ~7.9% | 233 | — | ~26.5% | ~11% | |
| Target Range |
BDECSPY9% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 6.2 | ~18.0% | ~7.1% | 263 | — | ~25.0% | ~12% | |
| Target Range |
DECTSPY10% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 6.2 | ~17.1% | ~8.0% | 263 | — | ~23.7% | ~13% | |
| Target Range |
NDECQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 7.0 | ~15.7% | ~12.1% | 263 | — | ~21.8% | ~13% | |
| Target Range |
PDECSPY15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 5.3 | ~13.0% | ~12.6% | 263 | ~-0.2% | ~18.0% | ~18% | |
| Target Range |
FDECSPY10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 6.1 | ~15.3% | ~8.4% | 281 | — | ~19.9% | ~17% | |
| Target Range |
GDECSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 5.2 | ~12.1% | ~13.1% | 281 | ~-0.1% | ~15.7% | ~21% | |
| Target Range |
XDECSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 3.7 | ~9.8% | ~12.8% | 281 | ~-0.3% | ~12.7% | ~25% | |
| Target Range |
JANWSPY20% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 4.5 | ~10.5% | ~18.1% | 294 | ~-0.0% | ~13.0% | ~24% | |
| Target Range |
NJANQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 7.9 | ~15.2% | ~13.0% | 294 | — | ~18.9% | ~17% | |
| Target Range |
PJANSPY15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 5.5 | ~12.7% | ~13.2% | 294 | — | ~15.7% | ~21% | |
| Target Range |
JANMSPY50% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | -1.3 | ~6.7% | ~43.3% | 309 | ~-0.4% | ~7.9% | ~29% | |
| Target Range |
FEBMSPY50% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | -1.2 | ~6.8% | ~45.2% | 344 | ~-0.2% | ~7.3% | ~30% | |
| Target Range |
QMFEQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 9.2 | ~15.3% | ~13.5% | 344 | — | ~16.2% | ~19% | |
| Target Range |
NMARQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 10.0 | ~16.1% | ~13.7% | 353 | — | ~16.7% | ~19% | |
| Extended Range |
SQMXSPY50% Buffer Quarterly |
First Trust™ | 0.1 | ~2.7% | ~8.3% | 8 | ~-0.3% | ~123% | ~8% | |
| Extended Range |
AIOOSPY100% Protection |
AllianzIM™ | — | ~0.0% | ~99.9% | 19 | ~-0.3% | ~25% Partic. | ~33% | |
| Extended Range |
BALTSPY20% Buffer Quarterly |
Innovator™ | — | ~1.7% | ~17.7% | 19 | ~-0.4% | ~33.4% | ~22% | |
| Extended Range |
QSPTQQQ10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 7.8 | ~15.0% | ~7.9% | 190 | ~-1.8% | ~28.8% | ~12% | |
| Extended Range |
BOCTSPY9% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 6.6 | ~13.8% | ~7.5% | 202 | ~-1.4% | ~25.0% | ~16% | |
| Extended Range |
NOCTQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 7.8 | ~12.4% | ~12.8% | 202 | ~-1.8% | ~22.4% | ~17% | |
| Extended Range |
OCTTSPY10% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 6.6 | ~13.2% | ~8.5% | 202 | ~-1.5% | ~23.9% | ~16% | |
| Extended Range |
OCTUSPY15% Uncapped Buffer |
AllianzIM™ | 2.1 | ~0.0% | ~14.2% | 202 | — | ~3.8% Spread | ~50% | |
| Extended Range |
POCTSPY15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 6.0 | ~9.9% | ~13.2% | 202 | ~-1.8% | ~18.0% | ~22% | |
| Extended Range |
FOCTSPY10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 6.6 | ~13.1% | ~8.4% | 218 | ~-1.8% | ~22.0% | ~18% | |
| Extended Range |
OCTMSPY50% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 4.2 | ~5.2% | ~42.1% | 218 | ~-1.8% | ~8.6% | ~35% | |
| Extended Range |
QCOCQQQ10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 6.9 | ~10.6% | ~17.4% | 218 | ~-1.7% | ~17.7% | ~20% | |
| Extended Range |
NNOVQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 5.5 | ~16.8% | ~11.2% | 233 | — | ~26.4% | ~9% | |
| Extended Range |
NVBUSPY15% Uncapped Buffer |
AllianzIM™ | 0.3 | ~0.0% | ~13.7% | 233 | — | ~4.0% Spread | ~48% | |
| Extended Range |
NVBWSPY20% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 4.5 | ~10.4% | ~17.2% | 233 | ~-0.9% | ~16.4% | ~20% | |
| Extended Range |
PNOVSPY15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 5.2 | ~12.7% | ~12.4% | 233 | ~-0.6% | ~19.9% | ~17% | |
| Extended Range |
DECUSPY15% Uncapped Buffer |
AllianzIM™ | 1.0 | ~0.0% | ~13.7% | 263 | — | ~4.0% Spread | ~48% | |
| Extended Range |
DECWSPY20% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 4.5 | ~10.7% | ~17.4% | 263 | ~-0.5% | ~14.9% | ~21% | |
| Extended Range |
DECMSPY50% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 1.0 | ~6.1% | ~48.6% | 281 | ~-0.9% | ~7.9% | ~31% | |
| Extended Range |
QDECQQQ10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 8.1 | ~19.2% | ~7.8% | 281 | — | ~25.0% | ~11% | |
| Extended Range |
RSDERSP10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 7.2 | ~13.4% | ~8.9% | 281 | ~-1.4% | ~17.4% | ~21% | |
| Extended Range |
YDECEFA15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 6.9 | ~11.4% | ~15.2% | 281 | ~-1.6% | ~14.8% | ~28% | |
| Extended Range |
BJANSPY9% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 6.7 | ~17.5% | ~7.6% | 294 | — | ~21.7% | ~15% | |
| Extended Range |
EJANEEM15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 8.8 | ~13.1% | ~17.1% | 294 | ~-1.3% | ~16.3% | ~29% | |
| Extended Range |
IJANEFA15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 7.7 | ~12.5% | ~15.1% | 294 | ~-1.2% | ~15.6% | ~25% | |
| Extended Range |
JANIEFA15% Uncapped Buffer |
AllianzIM™ | 1.1 | ~0.0% | ~13.3% | 294 | — | ~2.4% Spread | ~47% | |
| Extended Range |
JANTSPY10% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 6.6 | ~16.5% | ~8.6% | 294 | — | ~20.5% | ~16% | |
| Extended Range |
JANUSPY15% Uncapped Buffer |
AllianzIM™ | 2.4 | ~0.0% | ~13.8% | 294 | — | ~3.7% Spread | ~48% | |
| Extended Range |
KJANIWM15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 9.9 | ~15.5% | ~13.7% | 294 | ~-1.7% | ~19.2% | ~18% | |
| Extended Range |
GJANSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 4.2 | ~13.0% | ~12.7% | 309 | — | ~15.4% | ~20% | |
| Extended Range |
QCJAQQQ10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 5.4 | ~12.7% | ~17.4% | 309 | — | ~15.0% | ~19% | |
| Extended Range |
XJANSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 2.7 | ~10.8% | ~12.4% | 309 | — | ~12.7% | ~23% | |
| Extended Range |
FEBWSPY20% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 3.6 | ~11.5% | ~17.6% | 325 | — | ~12.9% | ~22% | |
| Extended Range |
NFEBQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 7.5 | ~16.5% | ~12.7% | 325 | — | ~18.6% | ~15% | |
| Extended Range |
PFEBSPY15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 4.7 | ~13.8% | ~12.9% | 325 | — | ~15.5% | ~19% | |
| Extended Range |
GFEBSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 4.6 | ~13.2% | ~13.0% | 344 | — | ~14.0% | ~21% | |
| Extended Range |
XFEBSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | 3.2 | ~11.2% | ~12.8% | 344 | — | ~11.9% | ~24% | |
| Extended Range |
MARTSPY10% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 6.8 | ~17.5% | ~8.6% | 353 | — | ~18.1% | ~17% | |
| Extended Range |
MARUSPY15% Uncapped Buffer |
AllianzIM™ | 3.3 | ~0.0% | ~13.7% | 353 | — | ~4.0% Spread | ~48% | |
| Extended Range |
MARWSPY20% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | 4.4 | ~11.5% | ~18.2% | 353 | — | ~11.9% | ~24% | |
| Extended Range |
PMARSPY15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | 5.5 | ~13.8% | ~13.3% | 353 | — | ~14.3% | ~21% |
QBUF
10% Buffer
Quarterly
Quarterly
Target
Range 0.2
▼
Range 0.2
ZALT
10% Buffer
Quarterly
Quarterly
Target
Range 0.1
▼
Range 0.1
SIXZ
10% Buffer
6-Month
6-Month
Target
Range 1.5
▼
Range 1.5
SIXD
10% Buffer
6-Month
6-Month
Target
Range 1.9
▼
Range 1.9
BNOV
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 5.9
▼
Range 5.9
NVBT
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 5.9
▼
Range 5.9
BDEC
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 6.2
▼
Range 6.2
DECT
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 6.2
▼
Range 6.2
NDEC
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 7.0
▼
Range 7.0
PDEC
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 5.3
▼
Range 5.3
FDEC
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 6.1
▼
Range 6.1
GDEC
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 5.2
▼
Range 5.2
XDEC
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 3.7
▼
Range 3.7
JANW
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 4.5
▼
Range 4.5
NJAN
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 7.9
▼
Range 7.9
PJAN
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 5.5
▼
Range 5.5
JANM
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range -1.3
▼
Range -1.3
FEBM
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range -1.2
▼
Range -1.2
QMFE
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 9.2
▼
Range 9.2
NMAR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Target
Range 10.0
▼
Range 10.0
SQMX
50% Buffer
Quarterly
Quarterly
Extended
Range 0.1
▼
Range 0.1
AIOO
100%
Protection
Protection
Extended
Range
▼
Range
BALT
20% Buffer
Quarterly
Quarterly
Extended
Range
▼
Range
QSPT
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 7.8
▼
Range 7.8
BOCT
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.6
▼
Range 6.6
NOCT
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 7.8
▼
Range 7.8
OCTT
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.6
▼
Range 6.6
OCTU
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Uncapped Buffer
Extended
Range 2.1
▼
Range 2.1
POCT
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.0
▼
Range 6.0
FOCT
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.6
▼
Range 6.6
OCTM
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 4.2
▼
Range 4.2
QCOC
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.9
▼
Range 6.9
NNOV
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 5.5
▼
Range 5.5
NVBU
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Uncapped Buffer
Extended
Range 0.3
▼
Range 0.3
NVBW
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 4.5
▼
Range 4.5
PNOV
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 5.2
▼
Range 5.2
DECU
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Uncapped Buffer
Extended
Range 1.0
▼
Range 1.0
DECW
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 4.5
▼
Range 4.5
DECM
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 1.0
▼
Range 1.0
QDEC
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 8.1
▼
Range 8.1
RSDE
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 7.2
▼
Range 7.2
YDEC
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.9
▼
Range 6.9
BJAN
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.7
▼
Range 6.7
EJAN
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 8.8
▼
Range 8.8
IJAN
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 7.7
▼
Range 7.7
JANI
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Uncapped Buffer
Extended
Range 1.1
▼
Range 1.1
JANT
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.6
▼
Range 6.6
JANU
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Uncapped Buffer
Extended
Range 2.4
▼
Range 2.4
KJAN
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 9.9
▼
Range 9.9
GJAN
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 4.2
▼
Range 4.2
QCJA
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 5.4
▼
Range 5.4
XJAN
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 2.7
▼
Range 2.7
FEBW
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 3.6
▼
Range 3.6
NFEB
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 7.5
▼
Range 7.5
PFEB
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 4.7
▼
Range 4.7
GFEB
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 4.6
▼
Range 4.6
XFEB
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 3.2
▼
Range 3.2
MART
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 6.8
▼
Range 6.8
MARU
15%
Uncapped Buffer
Uncapped Buffer
Extended
Range 3.3
▼
Range 3.3
MARW
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 4.4
▼
Range 4.4
PMAR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Extended
Range 5.5
▼
Range 5.5
🛡 100% Principal Protection 6
| Status | Ticker | Provider | Score*⇅ | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Cap Yld⇅ |
Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Range |
JAJLSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | -1.4 | ~2.7% | ~99.4% | 110 | ~-0.6% | ~9.1% | ~31% | |
| Target Range |
ZJANSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | -0.4 | ~5.7% | ~99.2% | 294 | ~-0.8% | ~7.1% | ~32% | |
| Target Range |
ZFEBSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | -4.7 | ~6.0% | ~99.6% | 325 | ~-0.4% | ~6.7% | ~30% | |
| Target Range |
ZMARSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | -2.2 | ~6.4% | ~99.7% | 353 | ~-0.3% | ~6.7% | ~32% | |
| Target Range |
AJANSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | 7.4 | ~12.1% | ~98.8% | 659 | ~-1.2% | ~6.7% | ~29% | |
| Extended Range |
ZDEKSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | -0.0 | ~5.7% | ~98.8% | 263 | ~-1.2% | ~7.8% | ~30% |
JAJL
100%
Protection
Protection
Target
Range -1.4
▼
Range -1.4
ZJAN
100%
Protection
Protection
Target
Range -0.4
▼
Range -0.4
ZFEB
100%
Protection
Protection
Target
Range -4.7
▼
Range -4.7
ZMAR
100%
Protection
Protection
Target
Range -2.2
▼
Range -2.2
AJAN
100%
Protection
Protection
Target
Range 7.4
▼
Range 7.4
ZDEK
100%
Protection
Protection
Extended
Range -0.0
▼
Range -0.0
↔ Dual Direction — Symmetric Participation Analysis 12
| Status | Ticker | Provider | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Cap Yld⇅ |
Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Range |
DDNQQQQDual Direction 5% Quarterly |
Innovator™ | ~4.5% | ~2.2% | 19 | ~-0.1% | ~87.4% | ~18% | |
| Target Range |
DDTDSPYDual Direction 10% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~13.5% | ~7.4% | 263 | ~-0.3% | ~18.7% | ~23% | |
| Target Range |
DDFJSPYDual Direction 15% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~8.6% | ~12.6% | 294 | ~-0.4% | ~10.7% | ~33% | |
| Target Range |
DDTJSPYDual Direction 10% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~13.2% | ~8.1% | 294 | — | ~16.3% | ~25% | |
| Target Range |
DDFFSPYDual Direction 15% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~9.7% | ~12.0% | 325 | — | ~10.9% | ~32% | |
| Target Range |
DDFMSPYDual Direction 15% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~10.1% | ~12.7% | 353 | — | ~10.4% | ~32% | |
| Extended Range |
DDSQSPYDual Direction 5% Quarterly |
Innovator™ | ~2.8% | ~2.2% | 19 | ~-0.5% | ~54.2% | ~28% | |
| Extended Range |
DDFNSPYDual Direction 15% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~8.3% | ~11.4% | 233 | ~-1.6% | ~13.1% | ~31% | |
| Extended Range |
DDTNSPYDual Direction 10% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~13.2% | ~7.2% | 233 | ~-0.7% | ~20.6% | ~22% | |
| Extended Range |
DDFDSPYDual Direction 15% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~8.6% | ~11.8% | 263 | ~-1.0% | ~11.9% | ~32% | |
| Extended Range |
DDTFSPYDual Direction 10% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~14.7% | ~7.7% | 325 | — | ~16.5% | ~24% | |
| Extended Range |
DDTMSPYDual Direction 10% Annual |
Innovator™ | ~14.7% | ~8.1% | 353 | — | ~15.2% | ~24% |
DDNQ
Dual
Direction 5% Quarterly
Direction 5% Quarterly
Target
Range
▼
Range
DDTD
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
Target
Range
▼
Range
DDFJ
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Direction 15% Annual
Target
Range
▼
Range
DDTJ
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
Target
Range
▼
Range
DDFF
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Direction 15% Annual
Target
Range
▼
Range
DDFM
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Direction 15% Annual
Target
Range
▼
Range
DDSQ
Dual
Direction 5% Quarterly
Direction 5% Quarterly
Extended
Range
▼
Range
DDFN
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Direction 15% Annual
Extended
Range
▼
Range
DDTN
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
Extended
Range
▼
Range
DDFD
Dual
Direction 15% Annual
Direction 15% Annual
Extended
Range
▼
Range
DDTF
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
Extended
Range
▼
Range
DDTM
Dual
Direction 10% Annual
Direction 10% Annual
Extended
Range
▼
Range
🚀 Acceleration Thresholds 7
Reset Proximity 1
Identifies funds priced near their initial outcome period parameters with multiplier triggers available.
| Status | Ticker | Provider | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Cap Yld⇅ |
Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accel Zone | XBJASPY2x Accelerated |
Innovator™ | ~12.6% | ~9.0% | 294 | — | ~15.6% | ~30% |
XBJA
2x
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accel Zone
▼
Trigger Proximity 3
Identifies funds within 1% of the mathematical participation trigger for accelerated upside.
| Status | Ticker | Provider | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Cap Yld⇅ |
Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accel Zone | QTJLQQQ3x Accelerated |
Innovator™ | ~8.3% | ~0.0% | 110 | — | ~27.6% | ~35% | |
| Accel Zone | XBJLSPY2x Accelerated |
Innovator™ | ~4.9% | ~9.0% | 110 | — | ~16.2% | ~35% | |
| Accel Zone | XTJLSPY2x Accelerated |
Innovator™ | ~6.5% | ~0.0% | 110 | — | ~21.7% | ~35% |
QTJL
3x
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accel Zone
▼
XBJL
2x
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accel Zone
▼
XTJL
2x
Accelerated
Accelerated
Accel Zone
▼
Max Cap Proximity 3
Identifies funds currently priced near their maximum stated potential return for the outcome period. Additional upside is mathematically limited.
| Status | Ticker | Provider | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Cap Yld⇅ |
Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near Cap | QTAPQQQ3x Accelerated |
Innovator™ | ~0.5% | ~0.0% | 19 | — | ~9.4% | ~90% | |
| Near Cap | XBAPSPY2x Accelerated |
Innovator™ | ~0.5% | ~9.0% | 19 | — | ~9.6% | ~90% | |
| Near Cap | XTAPSPY2x Accelerated |
Innovator™ | ~0.7% | ~0.0% | 19 | — | ~12.5% | ~90% |
QTAP
3x
Accelerated
Accelerated
Near Cap
▼
XBAP
2x
Accelerated
Accelerated
Near Cap
▼
XTAP
2x
Accelerated
Accelerated
Near Cap
▼
▲ Near Cap — At or Near Maximum Period Return 24
| Status | Ticker | Provider | Rem. Cap⇅ |
Rem. Buf⇅ |
Days⇅ | DBB⇅ | Cap Yld⇅ |
Prob.⇅ | View |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near Cap | DMARSPY25% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.4% | ~25.2% | 8 | ~-15.6% | ~20.1% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | FMARSPY10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.7% | ~11.3% | 8 | ~-12.4% | ~32.9% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | GMARSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.3% | ~17.3% | 8 | ~-10.7% | ~15.1% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | MARMSPY50% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.1% | ~93.2% | 8 | ~-6.8% | ~2.3% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | QMARQQQ10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.6% | ~12.4% | 8 | ~-15.2% | ~26.0% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | TMAREEM10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.3% | ~14.9% | 8 | ~-14.7% | ~16.0% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | XMARSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.2% | ~18.6% | 8 | ~-9.4% | ~9.6% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | YMAREFA15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~1.4% | ~14.7% | 8 | ~-12.4% | ~61.6% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | AAPRSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | ~0.5% | ~84.8% | 19 | ~-15.2% | ~10.0% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | APRTSPY10% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | ~1.4% | ~12.0% | 19 | ~-12.4% | ~26.1% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | APRWSPY20% Buffer Annual |
AllianzIM™ | ~0.7% | ~23.5% | 19 | ~-9.3% | ~14.2% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | BAPRSPY9% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | ~1.5% | ~10.8% | 19 | ~-12.8% | ~28.8% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | EAPREEM15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | ~0.7% | ~22.3% | 19 | ~-12.4% | ~13.1% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | KAPRIWM15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | ~1.6% | ~17.4% | 19 | ~-14.1% | ~30.2% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | NAPRQQQ15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | ~0.6% | ~20.3% | 19 | ~-13.0% | ~11.7% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | PAPRSPY15% Buffer Annual |
Innovator™ | ~0.8% | ~18.2% | 19 | ~-10.4% | ~15.8% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | UAPRSPY30% Ultra Buffer |
Innovator™ | ~0.8% | ~30.6% | 19 | ~-14.9% | ~15.9% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | ZAPRSPY100% Protection |
Innovator™ | ~0.4% | ~93.3% | 19 | ~-6.7% | ~6.9% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | APXMSPY100% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.4% | ~93.5% | 36 | ~-6.5% | ~3.8% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | DAPRSPY25% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.9% | ~28.4% | 36 | ~-16.3% | ~9.1% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | FAPRSPY10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~1.4% | ~14.4% | 36 | ~-14.4% | ~13.7% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | GAPRSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~1.0% | ~20.6% | 36 | ~-12.2% | ~10.3% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | QCAPQQQ10% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.8% | ~28.1% | 36 | ~-12.4% | ~8.3% | >95% | |
| Near Cap | XAPRSPY15% Buffer Annual |
First Trust™ | ~0.6% | ~22.0% | 36 | ~-10.8% | ~5.8% | >95% |
DMAR
25% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
FMAR
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
GMAR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
MARM
50% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
QMAR
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
TMAR
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
XMAR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
YMAR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
AAPR
100%
Protection
Protection
Near Cap
▼
APRT
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
APRW
20% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
BAPR
9% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
EAPR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
KAPR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
NAPR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
PAPR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
UAPR
30% Ultra
Buffer
Buffer
Near Cap
▼
ZAPR
100%
Protection
Protection
Near Cap
▼
APXM
100% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
DAPR
25% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
FAPR
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
GAPR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
QCAP
10% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
XAPR
15% Buffer
Annual
Annual
Near Cap
▼
Independent Research & Trademark Notices
Innovator™, First Trust™, and AllianzIM™ are trademarks of their respective owners. Outcome Radar is an independent research publication and is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by these or any other fund providers.
This publication is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an offer of advisory services. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor’s specific objectives and risk tolerance.
The Opportunity Score* and all probability estimates are model-based, hypothetical, and are not predictive of future results. Mathematical observations are based on current market data and modeled outcomes at expiration; they do not account for intra-period volatility or secondary market liquidity.
© 2026 Outcome Radar. All Rights Reserved.
* The Opportunity Score is a proprietary mathematical model provided for informational comparison purposes only. It is not an indicator of future performance, and different models may produce significantly different results.
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Modeled Outcome Profile at Expiration
Target Range
Extended Range
Loss Zone
Before Fees
After Fees
Max Gain
How to Use This Report
Start With the Score Filter
The Opportunity Score key at the top controls which ETFs are visible. A higher minimum (like ≥7) surfaces the most mathematically favorable profiles based on modeled outcomes at expiration. Tap "Show All" to clear the filter and see everything. The score is a composite of three components — excess upside vs. T-Bills, cap probability, and buffer quality — and applies only to standard buffered sections. Acceleration, Dual Direction, and Near Cap sections are exempt. All scores are model-based and not predictive of future results.
Expand Sections That Interest You
Each section is collapsed by default. Click the section header to expand it and see the ETFs inside. Near Cap sections start open since they are time-sensitive alerts.
Sort to Find What Matters
Click any column header on desktop to sort that section. On mobile, use the sort bar below each table. Try sorting by Cap Yield to find the best annualized return potential, or by Days to see what resets soonest.
Use Filters to Narrow Down
The provider, period, and status chips at the top let you isolate specific fund families, time horizons, or signal types. The ticker search box lets you jump straight to a specific ETF.
View Details & Payoff Curves
Click "View" on any ETF to open a side panel with the full payoff curve, key metrics, and position visualization. This shows you exactly where the ETF sits within its outcome period.
Toggle Data Lite Mode
The Data Heavy / Data Lite toggle at the top right simplifies the view by hiding less critical columns. Useful for a quick scan on mobile.
Section Guide
Near Original Entry — Best entry points: ETFs trading closest to their starting price with maximum cap and buffer intact.
Acceleration Zone — Leveraged ETFs (2x/3x) with multiplied upside. Position relative to the trigger threshold is key.
Approaching Cap — ETFs nearing their maximum return. Upside is limited; useful for deciding whether to hold or roll.
Dual Direction — ETFs that participate in both up and down index moves. Score does not apply; symmetry analysis matters instead.
Acceleration Zone — Leveraged ETFs (2x/3x) with multiplied upside. Position relative to the trigger threshold is key.
Approaching Cap — ETFs nearing their maximum return. Upside is limited; useful for deciding whether to hold or roll.
Dual Direction — ETFs that participate in both up and down index moves. Score does not apply; symmetry analysis matters instead.
Tap the ⓘ button again to close
Glossary of Terms
Remaining Cap (Rem. Cap)
The maximum upside return still available before the fund hits its ceiling for the period. Higher = more room to grow.
Remaining Buffer (Rem. Buf)
How much downside protection is still intact. For example, ~15% means the index can drop up to 15% before you start losing money.
Days
Calendar days left until the outcome period resets. At reset, the fund starts a new cap and buffer cycle.
DBB (Downside Before Buffer)
How much the index has already dropped into the buffer zone. A negative value like -0.3% means the index is slightly below the start — the buffer is absorbing that loss for you.
Cap Yield (Cap Yld)
The remaining cap expressed as an annualized return. Lets you compare ETFs with different time horizons on equal footing.
Probability (Prob.)
Model-estimated likelihood that the index will reach the cap level by expiration. Based on current implied volatility and time remaining.
Opportunity Score
A 0–10 composite derived from three modeled components: (1) Excess Upside vs. T-Bills, (2) Probability of reaching cap at expiration, and (3) Buffer quality. All observations are based on modeled outcomes at expiration and are not predictive of future results. Does not apply to Acceleration, Dual Direction, or Near Cap sections.
Target Range
The fund is trading closest to its starting price minus the fund fee — the ideal entry zone where you get the most cap and the most buffer.
Extended Range
Still near the starting price but slightly outside the tightest zone. Cap and buffer are still largely intact.
Near Cap
The fund is at or near its maximum return for the period. Little upside remains, but downside risk is still present.
Acceleration Zone
Leveraged ETFs (2x or 3x) that multiply index gains above a threshold. Position matters — being near the start or threshold changes the risk/reward.
% Cap Used / % Buffer Used
How much of the original cap or buffer has already been consumed by index movement since the period started.